Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale di Monigo (Treviso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport Arena
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Benetton Treviso		Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.67	21	2.3
	1.73	21	2.1
	1.69	21	2.26
	1.7	22.19	2.29	Watch
	1.62	23	2.3
	1.64	19	2.4
	1.69	21	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	21.17 ↓ (22.86)	2.27 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benetton Treviso
55%

Draw
4.4%

Sharks
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Benetton Treviso - Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Spagnolo M.	1. Nyakane T.
2. Maile S.	2. Mbatha F.
3. Avaca E.	3. Dreyer R.
4. Cannone N.	4. Jenkins J.
5. Ruzza F.	5. Grobler G.
6. Izekor A.	6. Venter J.
7. Lamaro M.	7. Tshituka V.
8. Cannone L.	8. Buthelezi P.
9. Garbisi A.	9. Hendrikse J.
10. Umaga J.	10. Masuku S.
11. Odogwu P.	11. Hooker E.
12. Brex N.	12. Esterhuizen A.
13. Menoncello T.	13. Julius J.
14. Mendy I.	14. Keyter E.
15. Smith R.	15. Hendrikse J.
Substitutes
16. Bernasconi B.	16. Richardson D.
17. Destiny A.	17. Mchunu N.
18. Gallorini M. F.	18. Jacobs H.
19. Favretto R.	19. Rahl C.
20. Snyman E.	20. Tshituka E.
21. Negri S.	21. Davids B.
22. Uren A.	22. Cronje L.
23. Marin L.	23. Venter F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 3)
11', Umaga J. (Penalty Goal),
18', Masuku S. (Penalty Goal),
24', Odogwu P. (Try),
25', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
33', Brex N. (Try),
34', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
37', Mendy I. (Try),
38', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 7)
69', Smith R. (Try),
70', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
76', Marin L. (Try),
77', Umaga J. (Conversion Goal),
79', Mchunu N. (Try),
80', Cronje L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Sharks is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sharks could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sharks have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Benetton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 65:96 (average 21.7:32).

Including matches at home between the teams Benetton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benetton Treviso rugby
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Benetton Treviso - Leinster	5:35 ✺
27.09.24	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	42:10 ✺
21.09.24	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
08.06.24	Blue Bulls - Benetton Treviso	30:23 ✺
01.06.24	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	31:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLW
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	30:33 ✺
28.09.24	Connacht - Sharks	36:30 ✺
Currie Cup
21.09.24	Lions - Sharks	14:16 ✺
14.09.24	Blue Bulls - Sharks	40:40 OT ✺
08.09.24	Sharks - Blue Bulls	24:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
11.05.24	Sharks - Benetton Treviso	24:25
14.04.23	Sharks - Benetton Treviso	43:33
26.02.22	Benetton Treviso - Sharks	7:29

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