Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 25

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Brive		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.32	26	3.4
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.33	24	3.4
	1.33	24	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	23.75 ↑ (20)	3.4 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brive
69.1%

Draw
3.9%

Castres
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

4.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brive's performance.

Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Brive - Castres Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brive will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brive won 2.

Recent matches Brive is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Brive is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brive to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brive won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 340-380.

Including matches at home between the teams Brive won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 194-131.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
French Top 14
06.05.23	Montpellier - Brive	26:27 ✺
22.04.23	Brive - Section Paloise	22:17 ✺
15.04.23	Brive - Stade Français	22:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
31.03.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Brive	19:7 ✺
French Top 14
25.03.23	Clermont - Brive	38:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLL
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
06.05.23	Section Paloise - Castres	40:3 ✺
22.04.23	Castres - Toulon	31:18 ✺
15.04.23	Montpellier - Castres	19:28 ✺
25.03.23	Castres - Toulouse	27:17 ✺
04.03.23	Castres - Lyon	27:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
24.09.22	Castres - Brive	12:6
26.03.22	Brive - Castres	28:12
30.10.21	Castres - Brive	23:22
29.05.21	Brive - Castres	28:33
22.12.20	Castres - Brive	24:25
09.11.19	Castres - Brive	28:26
18.03.18	Castres - Brive	37:28

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