Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 6

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Buller		Wairarapa Bush

	1	X	2
	5.1	41	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 (5.1)	41 (41)	1.14 (1.14)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buller
17.9%

Draw
2.2%

Wairarapa Bush
79.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Buller have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Wairarapa Bush have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 6)
2nd Half (8 - 19)

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The betting markets point to Wairarapa Bush as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Buller has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 128:202 (averaging 25.6:40.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Buller against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 46:44 goals (averaging 23:22 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Wairarapa	8	5	0	3	277:250	25
10	Buller	8	2	0	6	190:391	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buller Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
11.09.26	Buller - West Coast	38:31 ✺
04.09.26	Mid Canterbury - Buller	43:35
28.08.26	South Canterbury - Buller	73:10
21.08.26	Buller - North Otago	22:21
14.08.26	Thames Valley - Buller	89:26
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL
- Wairarapa Bush Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
11.09.26	Wairarapa Bush - King Country	38:54 ✺
04.09.26	Thames Valley - Wairarapa Bush	47:36 ✺
28.08.26	Wairarapa Bush - Horowhenua-Kapiti	46:31 ✺
21.08.26	Mid Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	29:19 ✺
14.08.26	Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush	17:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
19.09.25	Wairarapa Bush - Buller	73:27
27.09.19	Buller - Wairarapa Bush	17:20
14.09.18	Wairarapa Bush - Buller	61:29
22.09.17	Buller - Wairarapa Bush	29:24
30.09.16	Wairarapa Bush - Buller	24:26

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