Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Castres		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.18	26	4.75
	1.18	28	4.9
	1.15	22.62	5.87	Watch
	1.2	29	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.42)	26.41 ↑ (19.9)	5.01 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castres
78.1%

Draw
3.5%

Edinburgh
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

4.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.

Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edinburgh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Castres - Edinburgh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:21

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walcker Q.	1. Venter B.
2. Zarantonello L.	2. Morris H.
3. Azar A.	3. Blyth-Lafferty O.
4. Maravat G.	4. Hunter-Hill C.
5. Staniforth T.	5. Young G.
6. Delaporte B. (C)	6. McConnell L.
7. Ardron T.	7. Douglas F.
8. Papalii A.	8. Dodd T.
9. Fernandez J.	9. Vellacott B. (C)
10. Popelin P.	10. Scott C.
11. Vargas A.	11. Wells L.
12. Goodhue J.	12. O'Conor P.
13. Botitu V.	13. Currie T.
14. Ambadiang C.	14. McCann R.
15. Palis G.	15. Brown J.
Substitutes
16. Durand T.	16. Ashman E.
17. Galisson L.	17. Jones M.
18. Corato N.	18. Hill P.
19. Nakarawa L.	19. Boyle C.
20. Cope B.	20. Watson H.
21. Doubrere G.	21. Shiel C.
22. Herve E.	22. Lang J.
23. Karawalevu V.	23. Goosen W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
12', Ambadiang C. (Try),
2nd Half (28 - 0)
46', Zarantonello L. (Try),
47', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
54', Ardron T. (Try),
54', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
57', O'Conor P. 🟨,
61', Vargas A. (Try),
62', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
63', Botitu V. (Try),
63', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Castres has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Castres is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castres won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 62:99. (average 20.7:33).

Including home match between the teams, Castres won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.25	Gloucester - Castres	34:14 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Castres - Perpignan	23:7 ✺
22.11.25	La Rochelle - Castres	17:19 ✺
01.11.25	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	26:28 ✺
25.10.25	Clermont - Castres	63:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLL
- Edinburgh Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.25	Edinburgh - Toulon	33:20 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Edinburgh - Ospreys	19:17 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
17.10.25	Edinburgh - Benetton Treviso	43:0 ✺
10.10.25	Munster - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.23	Edinburgh - Castres	34:21
European Rugby Champions Cup
15.01.23	Castres - Edinburgh	21:34
17.12.22	Edinburgh - Castres	31:20

Upcoming Matches