Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Digital


	Llanelli Scarlets		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.22	25	4.3
	1.25	26	4
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.28)	25.67 ↑ (25.33)	4.02 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
73.5%

Draw
3.6%

Section Paloise
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

3.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Llanelli Scarlets - Section Paloise Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarlets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mathias K.	1. Etchebehere A.
2. Elias R.	2. Delhommel Y.
3. Thomas H.	3. Zabala J.
4. Lousi S.	4. Jolmes T.
5. Ball J.	5. Capelli M.
6. Plumtree T.	6. Zegueur S.
7. Macleod J. (C)	7. Hewat R.
8. Anderson F.	8. Tuipulotu C.
9. Hughes A.	9. Daubagna T. (C)
10. Hawkins J.	10. Desperes A.
11. Mee E.	11. Butlin T. R.
12. James E.	12. Valentino Q.
13. Roberts J.	13. Decron N.
14. Rogers T.	14. Arfeuil G.
15. Murray B.	15. Attissogbe T.
Substitutes
16. van der Merwe M.	16. Rey L.
17. Hepburn A.	17. Seneca R.
18. O'Connor H.	18. Tokolahi S.
19. Price J.	19. Liufau B.
20. Davis D.	20. Iosefo X.
21. Blacker D.	21. Tauiliili-Pelesasa P.
22. Leggatt-Jones C.	22. Robson D.
23. Nicholas I.	23. Mondinat C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 26)
9', Hawkins J. (Penalty Goal),
10', Butlin T. R. (Try),
11', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
15', Butlin T. R. (Try),
18', Mondinat C. (Try),
19', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
24', Macleod J. (Try),
24', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
28', Tuipulotu C. (Try),
28', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
35', Hewat R. 🟨,
38', Macleod J. (Try),
39', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Hughes A. (Try),
40+2', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 21)
44', Plumtree T. (Try),
45', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
51', Decron N. 🟨,
51', Hawkins J. (Try),
52', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
58', Seneca R. (Try),
59', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
66', Attissogbe T. (Try),
67', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
77', Tokolahi S. (Try),
78', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent form of Scarlets has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Section Paloise has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Section Paloise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Scarlets is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
01.01.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets	28:5 ✺
26.12.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Ospreys	19:26 ✺
19.12.25	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	17:21 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Llanelli Scarlets	50:21 ✺
06.12.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	16:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
03.01.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	22:17 ✺
28.12.25	Section Paloise - Montpellier	35:33 ✺
20.12.25	Montauban - Section Paloise	17:53 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Section Paloise	61:12 ✺
07.12.25	Section Paloise - Northampton Saints	27:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

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