Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 14Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC |
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Connacht |
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Ospreys |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Connacht
74.8% | Draw
3.7% | Ospreys
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 31:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 7)
- 2nd Half (14 - 7)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 3.Ospreys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Connacht is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 474:503. (average 23.7:25.2).Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 285:230. (average 28.5:23).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Connacht | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 336:326 | 39 |
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| 11 | Ospreys | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 293:325 | 30 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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