Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Edinburgh		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.05	40	8.6
	1.06	29	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.13)	36.67 ↑ (32.67)	9.03 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
87.3%

Draw
2.5%

Gloucester
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.1%

2.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edinburgh's performance.

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Edinburgh - Gloucester Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:19

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitcombe J.	1. Rapava-Ruskin V.
2. Morris H.	2. Crane W.
3. Blyth-Lafferty O.	3. Laulala N.
4. Hunter-Hill C.	4. Thomas F.
5. Young G.	5. Alemanno M.
6. McConnell L.	6. Gwynne D.
7. Douglas F.	7. Ludlow L.
8. Bradbury M. (C)	8. Clement J.
9. Vellacott B.	9. Austin M.
10. Thompson R.	10. Atkinson C.
11. van der Merwe D.	11. Hathaway J.
12. Lang J.	12. Atkinson S. (C)
13. Currie T.	13. Butler W.
14. Graham D.	14. Cotgreave J.
15. Goosen W.	15. Barton G.
Substitutes
16. Ashman E.	16. Knowles G.
17. Schoeman P.	17. Knight C.
18. Hill P.	18. Fasogbon A.
19. McVie E.	19. Jordan C.
20. Dodd T.	20. Venter J.
21. Muncaster B.	21. Price R.
22. Shiel C.	22. Byrne R.
23. O'Conor P.	23. Morris J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 18)
2', Hathaway J. (Try),
15', Barton G. (Penalty Goal),
17', Vellacott B. (Try),
29', Barton G. (Penalty Goal),
38', Atkinson C. (Try),
39', Barton G. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 6)
53', Ashman E. (Try),
54', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
56', Barton G. (Penalty Goal),
60', McConnell L. (Try),
61', van der Merwe D. (Conversion Goal),
67', (Penalty Try),
67', Atkinson C. 🟨,
75', Barton G. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Edinburgh has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gloucester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Edinburgh is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 71:88. (average 14.2:17.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Edinburgh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:63. (average 15:21).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Edinburgh	14:15 ✺
27.12.25	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	3:21 ✺
20.12.25	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	24:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Castres - Edinburgh	33:0 ✺
07.12.25	Edinburgh - Toulon	33:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLLW
- Gloucester Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
02.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester	25:19 ✺
27.12.25	Gloucester - Saracens	21:30 ✺
19.12.25	Leicester Tigers - Gloucester	45:14 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Munster - Gloucester	31:3 ✺
07.12.25	Gloucester - Castres	34:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
06.12.24	Gloucester - Edinburgh	15:10
13.01.24	Edinburgh - Gloucester	20:21
01.05.15	Edinburgh - Gloucester	13:19
Heineken Cup
15.12.13	Gloucester - Edinburgh	10:16
08.12.13	Edinburgh - Gloucester	12:23

Upcoming Matches