Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Sandy Park (Exeter)

Referee: Smales H. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet


	Exeter Chiefs		London Irish

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7
	1.42	21	2.8
	1.45	25	2.8
	1.5	24	2.7
	1.44	21	2.8
	1.5	24	2.73	Watch
	1.48	25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	23 (23)	2.75 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
62.5%

Draw
4%

London Irish
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

3.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter Chiefs's form might have worsened.

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting London Irish's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Exeter Chiefs - London Irish Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 25%). London Irish will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:25

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 2.

Exeter Chiefs is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches London Irish is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Exeter Chiefs have a series of guest games.

Exeter Chiefs will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Exeter Chiefs won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 469-258.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter Chiefs won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 230-106.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
04.11.22	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	26:19 ✺
28.10.22	Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs	38:22 ✺
22.10.22	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	20:22 ✺
07.10.22	Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	14:50 ✺
01.10.22	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	28:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby
29.10.22	Harlequins - London Irish	26:24 ✺
21.10.22	London Irish - Gloucester	21:22 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
17.10.22	Saracens - London Irish	26:43 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
14.10.22	Sale Sharks - London Irish	37:14 ✺
01.10.22	London Irish - Bath	47:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
29.01.22	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	18:14
23.10.21	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	21:33
18.05.21	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	12:31
13.02.21	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	26:3
30.09.20	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	19:22
05.01.20	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	28:45
15.04.18	London Irish - Exeter Chiefs	5:45

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