Match Info
Six Nations - Round 1Date: 5 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)Referee: Dickson K. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
France | France 2 |
Ireland | Virgin Media Four, Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
Spain | Movistar+ Lite, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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France |
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Ireland |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.15 |
41 |
6 |
|
 |
1.16 |
23 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.16 |
28 |
5.2 |
|
 |
1.17 |
30.32 |
5.69 |
Watch |
 |
1.15 |
29 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
26 |
6.09 |
|
 |
1.13 |
31 |
6.5 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.15 ↓ (1.18) |
29.76 ↓ (30.59) |
5.78 ↑ (5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
France 80.8% | Draw 3.1% | Ireland 16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Ireland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)France - Ireland Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +13.5 - Ireland (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 3 - 75%). Ireland (votes: 1 - 25%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:16 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Gros J.
| 1. Loughman J.
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2. Marchand J.
| 2. Sheehan D.
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3. Aldegheri D.
| 3. Clarkson T.
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4. Ollivon C.
| 4. McCarthy J.
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5. Guillard M.
| 5. Beirne T.
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6. Cros F.
| 6. Prendergast C.
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7. Jegou O.
| 7. van der Flier J.
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8. Jelonch A.
| 8. Sweetman-Doris C. (C)
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9. Dupont A. (C)
| 9. Gibson-Park J.
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10. Jalibert M.
| 10. Prendergast S.
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11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
| 11. Stockdale J.
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12. Moefana Y.
| 12. McCloskey S.
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13. Depoortere N.
| 13. Ringrose G.
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14. Attissogbe T.
| 14. O'Brien T.
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15. Ramos T.
| 15. Osborne J.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Mauvaka P.
| 16. Kelleher R.
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17. Neti R.
| 17. Milne M.
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18. Montagne R.
| 18. Bealham F.
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19. Auradou H.
| 19. Ryan J.
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20. Meafou E.
| 20. Conan J.
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21. Nouchi L.
| 21. Timoney N.
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22. Serin B.
| 22. Casey C.
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23. Gourgues K.
| 23. Crowley J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Galthie F.
| . Farrell A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (22 - 0)
- 14', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 14', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Jalibert M. (Try),
- 23', Ramos T. (Missed Conversion),
- 28', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Ollivon C. (Try),
- 35', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 14)
- 47', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 48', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', van der Flier J. ↓, Timoney N. ↑,
- 50', Stockdale J. ↓, Crowley J. ↑,
- 50', McCarthy J. ↓, Ryan J. ↑,
- 50', Prendergast C. ↓, Conan J. ↑,
- 50', Moefana Y. ↓, Gourgues K. ↑,
- 50', Guillard M. ↓, Meafou E. ↑,
- 50', Ollivon C. ↓, Auradou H. ↑,
- 50', Gros J. ↓, Neti R. ↑,
- 50', Aldegheri D. ↓, Mauvaka P. ↑,
- 50', Marchand J. ↓, Montagne R. ↑,
- 59', Timoney N. (Try),
- 59', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Loughman J. ↓, Milne M. ↑,
- 60', Clarkson T. ↓, Bealham F. ↑,
- 62', Milne M. (Try),
- 62', Prendergast S. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Cros F. ↓, Nouchi L. ↑,
- 63', Sheehan D. ↓, Kelleher R. ↑,
- 74', Osborne J. ↓, Casey C. ↑,
- 74', Dupont A. ↓, Serin B. ↑,
- 80+1', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 80+1', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 3. In this match, France is the undeniable favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, France won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 257:307. (average 17.1:20.5).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 218:93 | 21 |
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| 3 | Ireland | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 135:117 | 19 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 08.03.25 | Ireland - France | 27:42 | | 02.02.24 | France - Ireland | 17:38 | | 11.02.23 | Ireland - France | 32:19 | | 12.02.22 | France - Ireland | 30:24 | | 14.02.21 | Ireland - France | 13:15 | | 31.10.20 | France - Ireland | 35:27 | | 10.03.19 | Ireland - France | 26:14 |
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