Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 1

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Horowhenua-Kapiti		King Country

	1	X	2
	1.51	27	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	27 ↑ (25)	2.59 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horowhenua-Kapiti
61%

Draw
3.4%

King Country
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

3.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

King Country has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

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Preview

Horowhenua-Kapiti might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 135:127. (average 33.8:31.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Horowhenua-Kapiti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:72. (average 27:36).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	King Country	8	6	0	2	363:215	32
6	Horowhenua	8	5	0	3	310:251	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
18.10.25	North Otago - Horowhenua-Kapiti	64:47 ✺
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40 ✺
03.10.25	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	31:21 ✺
26.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	22:21 ✺
19.09.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWL
- King Country Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
03.10.25	East Coast - King Country	14:73
26.09.25	King Country - Whanganui	24:29 ✺
19.09.25	Mid Canterbury - King Country	32:17 ✺
13.09.25	King Country - Wairarapa Bush	24:25 ✺
05.09.25	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
05.09.25	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:46
20.09.19	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	19:35
28.09.18	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	36:30
23.09.16	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	18:42

Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide