Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 8

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	South Canterbury		Horowhenua-Kapiti

	1	X	2
	1.17	32	4.85
	1.22	25	4.42
	1.17	32	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.2)	29.67 ↑ (28)	4.71 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Canterbury
77.4%

Draw
3.1%

Horowhenua-Kapiti
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.5%

3.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, South Cant is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South Cant won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 173:77. (average 43.3:19.3).

Including home matches between the teams, South Cant won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 93:31. (average 46.5:15.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
26.09.25	North Otago - South Canterbury	32:29 ✺
19.09.25	Poverty Bay - South Canterbury	41:35 ✺
12.09.25	South Canterbury - Mid Canterbury	0:13 ✺
05.09.25	South Canterbury - Whanganui	35:24 ✺
29.08.25	Buller - South Canterbury	24:64
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
26.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	22:21 ✺
19.09.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	27:21 ✺
12.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - West Coast	27:26 ✺
05.09.25	King Country - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:46 ✺
29.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	19:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
22.09.24	Horowhenua-Kapiti - South Canterbury	24:28
06.09.19	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	57:7
08.09.18	Horowhenua-Kapiti - South Canterbury	22:52
30.09.16	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	36:24

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
09.10.26	South Canterbury - Wairarapa Bush	✺

South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide