Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 2

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Poverty Bay		Horowhenua-Kapiti

	1	X	2
	1.6	25	2.3
	1.64	25	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	25 ↑ (24)	2.3 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poverty Bay
56.5%

Draw
3.7%

Horowhenua-Kapiti
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

3.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poverty Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Horowhenua-Kapiti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 8)
2nd Half (7 - 21)

Preview

Poverty Bay might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poverty Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 93:129. (average 23.3:32.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Poverty Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 39:72. (average 19.5:36).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Horowhenua	8	5	0	3	310:251	28
9	Poverty Bay	8	2	0	6	268:320	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poverty Bay Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
14.08.26	Poverty Bay - Wairarapa Bush	17:20 ✺
10.10.25	North Otago - Poverty Bay	48:46 ✺
03.10.25	Wairarapa Bush - Poverty Bay	29:24 ✺
26.09.25	Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury	43:47 ✺
19.09.25	Poverty Bay - South Canterbury	41:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 LLLLW
- Horowhenua-Kapiti Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
14.08.26	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	41:45 ✺
18.10.25	North Otago - Horowhenua-Kapiti	64:47 ✺
10.10.25	Whanganui - Horowhenua-Kapiti	18:40 ✺
03.10.25	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	31:21 ✺
26.09.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Wairarapa Bush	22:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
29.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	19:26
05.11.21	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	34:33
27.09.19	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	38:28
01.09.17	Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti	5:39

Poverty Bay - Horowhenua-Kapiti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide