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Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 79.8%
Draw 3%
Crusaders 17.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.1%
3.8%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hurricanes's performance.
Crusaders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crusaders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Hurricanes - Crusaders Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Numia X.
1. Bower G.
2. Aumua A.
2. Taylor C.
3. Tosi P.
3. Newell F.
4. Delany C.
4. Shalfoon A.
5. Dearns W.
5. Cahill T.
6. Iose B.
6. Blackadder E.
7. Kirifi D.
7. Faingaanuku L.
8. Lakai P.
8. Lio-Willie C.
9. Roigard C.
9. Hotham N.
10. Love R.
10. Kemara T.
11. Fineanganofo F.
11. Springer M.
12. Barrett J.
12. Havili D.
13. Proctor B.
13. Ennor B.
14. Moorby J.
14. McLeod D.
15. Harkin C.
15. McNicholl J.
Substitutes
16. Tuputupu R.
16. Bell G.
17. Lauaki S.
17. Sykes-Martin K.
18. Mafile'o T.
18. Calder S.
19. Walker-Leawere I.
19. Hannah J.
20. Shields B.
20. Gardiner D.
21. Flanders D.
21. Preston K.
22. Enari E.
22. Lee J.
23. Rova J.
23. Reihana R.
Coaches
. Laidlaw C.
. Penney R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (24 - 10)
8', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
9', Kemara T. (Conversion Goal),
21', Kirifi D. (Try),
22', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
29', Love R. (Penalty Goal),
34', Kemara T. (Penalty Goal),
36', Moorby J. (Try),
37', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
39', Roigard C. (Try),
39', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 21)
41', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
41', Kemara T. ↓, Reihana R. ↑,
46', Hotham N. (Try),
47', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
49', Iose B. ↓, Flanders D. ↑,
51', Taylor C. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
51', Cahill T. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
51', Blackadder E. ↓, Gardiner D. ↑,
53', Tuputupu R. (Try),
54', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
54', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
58', Reihana R. (Try),
59', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
59', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
60', Dearns W. ↓, Walker-Leawere I. ↑,
65', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
65', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
66', Hotham N. ↓, Preston K. ↑,
66', Harkin C. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
66', Lakai P. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
68', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
69', Faingaanuku L. ↓, Lee J. ↑,
69', Bower G. ↓, Sexton J. ↑,
69', Newell F. ↓, Calder S. ↑,
77', Gardiner D. (Try),
77', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 2.
Hurricanes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Crusaders has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Hurricanes is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 451:560. (average 22.6:28).
Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 192:223. (average 24:27.9).