The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiefs 48.6%
Draw 4.4%
Hurricanes 47%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.3%
4.7%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
4.6%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hurricanes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Chiefs - Hurricanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hurricanes will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Norris O.
1. Numia X.
2. Taukei'aho S.
2. Aumua A.
3. Dyer G.
3. Tosi P.
4. Lord J.
4. Walker-Leawere I.
5. Ah Kuoi N.
5. Dearns W.
6. Finau S.
6. Flanders D.
7. Jacobson L.
7. Kirifi D.
8. Parker S.
8. Lakai P.
9. Ratima C.
9. Roigard C.
10. McKenzie D.
10. Love R.
11. Taumoefolau K.
11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Paul R.
12. Barrett J.
13. Tupaea Q.
13. Proctor B.
14. Carter L.
14. Moorby J.
15. Coombes-Fabling L.
15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. McAlister B.
16. Devery J.
17. Proffit J.
17. Rakete-Stones P.
18. O’Neill R.
18. Mafile'o T.
19. Sa F.
19. Delany C.
20. Boshier K.
20. Shields B.
21. Sititi W.
21. Iose B.
22. Roe X.
22. Enari E.
23. Jacomb J.
23. Rova J.
Coaches
. McMillan C.
. Laidlaw C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 12)
9', Moorby J. (Try),
9', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
29', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
38', Lakai P. (Try),
39', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 5)
41', Walker-Leawere I. ↓, Delany C. ↑,
49', Parker S. (Try),
50', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
51', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
54', Brown J. ↓, Sititi W. ↑,
62', Aumua A. (Try),
63', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
63', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
63', Dyer G. ↓, Kumeroa B. ↑,
63', Coombes-Fabling L. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
63', Ratima C. ↓, Roe X. ↑,
63', Kirifi D. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
63', Numia X. ↓, Rakete-Stones P. ↑,
63', Flanders D. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
68', Lord J. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
68', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
68', Aumua A. ↓, Devery J. ↑,
69', Paul R. ↓, Sinkinson D. ↑,
69', Harkin C. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
73', Sinkinson D. (Try),
73', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
Extra Time (5 - 0)
81', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
85', McKenzie D. (Missed Drop Goal),
85', Sititi W. (Try),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 2.
Chiefs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hurricanes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Chiefs will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 460:514. (average 23:25.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 185:175. (average 23.1:21.9).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Norris O. 
Dearns W. 
Taumoefolau K. 
Shields B. 
Laidlaw C. 
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