The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Llanelli Scarlets 21.5%
Draw 3.6%
Leinster 74.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
3.9%
69.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
3.9%
69.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli Scarlets's form might have worsened.
Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leinster's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli Scarlets than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanelli Scarlets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leinster than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leinster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Llanelli Scarlets - Leinster Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:30
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hepburn A.
1. Healy C.
2. Elias R.
2. Kelleher R.
3. Thomas H.
3. Clarkson T.
4. Craig A.
4. Baird R.
5. Lousi S.
5. Deeny B.
6. Fifita V.
6. Soroka A.
7. Macleod J.
7. Connors W.
8. Plumtree T.
8. Culhane J.
9. Davies G.
9. Gunne F.
10. Costelow S.
10. Byrne R.
11. Mee E.
11. O'Brien J.
12. Williams J.
12. Osborne J.
13. Roberts J.
13. Turner L.
14. Rogers T.
14. Osborne A.
15. Murray B.
15. Frawley C.
Substitutes
16. van der Merwe M.
16. McCarthy G.
17. Trevett L.
17. Boyle J.
18. Wainwright S.
18. Slimani R.
19. Price J.
19. Mangan D.
20. Taylor J.
20. Penny S.
21. Hughes A.
21. Foley C.
22. Lloyd I.
22. Tector C.
23. Page M.
23. Moloney R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (22 - 15)
9', Davies G. (Try),
9', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
13', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
18', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
22', Rogers T. (Try),
24', Osborne J. (Try),
25', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
30', Plumtree T. (Try),
31', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
35', Mangan D. (Try),
2nd Half (13 - 7)
42', Roberts J. (Try),
43', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
48', Culhane J. (Try),
48', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
55', Lloyd I. (Penalty Goal),
80+1', (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Scarlets won 0.
Recent matches Scarlets is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Leinster is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Leinster is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Scarlets won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 353:629 (average 17.7:31.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Scarlets won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 168:216 (average 21:27).
Africa
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Ireland
Mexico
Netherlands
Norway
Peru
Poland
Sweden
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Hepburn A. 
Healy C. 
Elias R. 
Lousi S. 
van der Merwe M. 
Slimani R. 
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