Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Brentford Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Barnes W. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet


	London Irish		Newcastle Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.28	23	3.75
	1.36	21	3.1
	1.3	29	3.5
	1.3	26	3.65
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.33	30	3.45	Watch
	1.3	25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	25 ↑ (19.83)	3.49 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

London Irish
70%

Draw
3.7%

Newcastle Red Bulls
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

4.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

4.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in London Irish's performance.

Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with London Irish that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. London Irish will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:23

#ad

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches London Irish won 3.

London Irish is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newcastle Falcons is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

London Irish could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently London Irish have a series of guest games.

In this match London Irish is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches London Irish won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 328-310.

Including matches at home between the teams London Irish won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 184-142.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- London Irish
English Premiership Rugby
27.11.22	Leicester Tigers - London Irish	33:31 ✺
12.11.22	Exeter Chiefs - London Irish	22:17 ✺
29.10.22	Harlequins - London Irish	26:24 ✺
21.10.22	London Irish - Gloucester	21:22 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
17.10.22	Saracens - London Irish	26:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
25.11.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	24:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	28:31 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
12.11.22	Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls	21:27 ✺
05.11.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	10:17 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.10.22	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
22.04.22	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	14:42
04.12.21	London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:21
08.05.21	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	52:27
31.01.21	London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls	31:22
30.12.17	London Irish - Newcastle Red Bulls	15:20
29.09.17	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	29:17
17.04.16	Newcastle Red Bulls - London Irish	13:6

Upcoming Matches