Match Info
Top 14 - Round 17Date: 14 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade de Gerland (Lyon)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 4 |
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Lyon |
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Montauban |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1 |
51 |
21 |
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 |
1 |
50 |
14 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1 |
34 |
17 |
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 |
1.01 |
22 |
22 |
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 |
1 |
29 |
29 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1
(1) |
37.2 ↓
(45) |
20.6 ↑
(14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-35)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lyon
93% | Draw
2.5% | Montauban
4.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montauban (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -39.5 - Montauban (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -41.5 - Montauban (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -43.5 - Montauban (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Montauban (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 50:15 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Rey J.
| 1. Aouf L.
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2. Marchand G.
| 2.  Greyling R.
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3.  Ainsley J.
| 3. Mafileo S.
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4. William T.
| 4.  Wilkins K. (C)
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5. Roux J.
| 5. Kanika N.
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6. Cretin D.
| 6. Ringuet K.
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7. Okuya M.
| 7.  Fifita V.
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8. Simmonds S. (C)
| 8.  Maafu N.
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9. Cassang C.
| 9. Zabalza H.
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10. Meliande M.
| 10. Bosviel J.
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11.  Wainiqolo J.
| 11. Vallee P.
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12. Millet T.
| 12. Popoali’i G.
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13. Maraku J.
| 13. Renda S.
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14. Dumortier E.
| 14. Ahmed S.
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15. Lorre G.
| 15.  Tuculet S.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Marceline T.
| 16. Firmin K.
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17. Moukoro T.
| 17. Bue T.
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18. Geraci K.
| 18. Bitz C.
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19. Allen L.
| 19. Notshe S.
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20. Gonzalez E.
| 20.  Powell J.
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21. Parisien A.
| 21. Fortunel T.
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22. Berdeu L.
| 22. Mathy M.
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23. Gomes Sa C.
| 23. Simutoga V.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (45 - 5)
- 2', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
- 2', Popoali’i G. 🟥,
- 2', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 4', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
- 4', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
- 8', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Lorre G. (Try),
- 21', Ringuet K. (Try),
- 26', Dumortier E. (Try),
- 27', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Millet T. (Try),
- 34', Meliande M. (Try),
- 34', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (28 - 7)
- 43', Ringuet K. (Try),
- 44', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Meliande M. (Try),
- 49', Marceline T. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Cassang C. (Try),
- 54', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Gonzalez E. (Try),
- 58', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Meliande M. (Try),
- 79', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2).Lyon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Montauban has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Lyon is the clear favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 92:49. (average 30.7:16.3).Including home match between the teams, Lyon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 44:14.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
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| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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