Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Lyon		Saracens

	1	X	2
	3.5	21	1.33
	2.9	23	1.4
	3.35	26	1.33
	3.6	25	1.31
	3.2	21	1.36
	3.36	28	1.35
	3.55	25	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.38)	24.14 ↓ (25)	1.34 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
27.5%

Draw
3.8%

Saracens
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

3.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

3.8%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saracens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saracens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lyon - Saracens Predictions

Users Predictions: Saracens will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29

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Preview

Recent matches Lyon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saracens is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saracens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Saracens have a series of home games.

In this match Saracens is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Lyon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon OU
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.12.22	Blue Bulls - Lyon	42:36 ✺
French Top 14
03.12.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon	19:7 ✺
27.11.22	Lyon - Toulouse	21:14 ✺
05.11.22	Lyon - Castres	26:20 ✺
29.10.22	Perpignan - Lyon	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.12.22	Saracens - Edinburgh	30:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
19.11.22	Saracens - Leicester Tigers	8:45 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
13.11.22	Saracens - Northampton Saints	45:39 ✺
05.11.22	Bristol Rugby - Saracens	10:25 ✺
30.10.22	Saracens - Sale Sharks	33:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.19	Lyon - Saracens	10:28
20.10.18	Saracens - Lyon	29:10

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