Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 7

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: HBF Park (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Western Force		Chiefs

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17
	4.6	35	1.18
	4.9	25.5	1.2	Watch
	4.5	26	1.2
	5.51	23	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.33)	28.7 ↓ (40)	1.18 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Western Force
18.8%

Draw
3.2%

Chiefs
78%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

2.3%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Western Force - Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Chiefs will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -12.5 - Chiefs (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiefs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:35

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robertson T.	1. Proffit J.
2. Paenga-Amosa B.	2. McAlister B.
3. Johnson-Holmes H.	3. Dyer G.
4. Williams J.	4. Lord J.
5. Swain D.	5. Ah Kuoi N.
6. Champion de Crespigny R.	6. Finau S.
7. Tizzano C.	7. Jacobson L.
8. Ekuasi V.	8. Parker S.
9. Robertson H.	9. Roe X.
10. Donaldson B.	10. Jacomb J.
11. Kuenzle B.	11. Nanai-Seturo E.
12. Beale K.	12. Tupaea Q.
13. Bridge G.	13. Carter L.
14. Lancaster D.	14. Narawa E.
15. Burey M.	15sa. McKenzie D.
Substitutes
16. Oviedo L.	16. Taukei'aho S.
17. Faagase S.	17. Norris O.
18. Epenisa M.	18. Ahio S.
19. Faifua L.	19. Sa F.
20. Harris W.	20. Boshier K.
21. Hastie N.	21. Ratima C.
22. Stewart H.	22. Brown K.
23. Palu D.	23. Taumoefolau K.
Coaches
. Cron S.	. McMillan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 14)
22', Jacobson L. (Try),
23', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
31', Burey M. (Try),
31', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
38', Jacomb J. (Try),
39', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 10)
41', Tizzano C. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
44', Johnson-Holmes H. ↓, Epenisa M. ↑,
49', Williams J. (Try),
50', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
50', Roe X. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
53', Proffit J. ↓, Norris O. ↑,
53', McAlister B. ↓, Taukei'aho S. ↑,
54', Robertson T. ↓, Faagase S. ↑,
54', Beale K. ↓, Stewart H. ↑,
57', Ekuasi V. ↓, Faifua L. ↑,
58', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
58', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
59', Narawa E. ↓, Taumoefolau K. ↑,
59', Dyer G. ↓, Ahio S. ↑,
59', Finau S. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
62', Williams J. ↓, Ekuasi V. ↑,
63', Norris O. 🟨,
63', Robertson H. ↓, Hastie N. ↑,
63', Paenga-Amosa B. ↓, Oviedo L. ↑,
65', Parker S. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
67', Jacomb J. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
68', Lord J. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
70', Ekuasi V. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
73', Proffit J. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
79', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 0.

Western Force is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chiefs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Western Force may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chiefs is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Western Force won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 132:333. (average 14.7:37).

Including home matches between the teams, Western Force won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:79. (average 11.3:19.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Force Rugby
Super Rugby
13.03.26	Hurricanes - Western Force	31:23 ✺
06.03.26	Highlanders - Western Force	39:31 ✺
27.02.26	Moana Pasifika - Western Force	19:35 ✺
21.02.26	Western Force - Blues	32:42 ✺
14.02.26	Western Force - Brumbies	24:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Chiefs Rugby
Super Rugby
20.03.26	Brumbies - Chiefs	33:24 ✺
06.03.26	Chiefs - Moana Pasifika	57:24 ✺
28.02.26	Chiefs - Crusaders	33:43 ✺
21.02.26	Highlanders - Chiefs	23:26 ✺
14.02.26	Blues - Chiefs	15:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
25.04.25	Chiefs - Western Force	56:22
04.05.24	Chiefs - Western Force	56:7
03.06.23	Western Force - Chiefs	19:43
21.05.22	Chiefs - Western Force	54:21
15.05.21	Western Force - Chiefs	19:20
22.04.17	Western Force - Chiefs	7:16
26.03.16	Chiefs - Western Force	53:10

Western Force - Chiefs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide