Match Info

Top 14 - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Montauban		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17
	5.2	29	1.16
	8.82	37.48	1.08	Watch
	5.5	23	1.12
	4.9	30	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↓ (8.82)	30.7 ↓ (37.48)	1.15 ↑ (1.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
15.8%

Draw
3%

Toulouse
81.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

2.5%

86.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montauban's performance.

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Montauban - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:33

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bue T.	1. Bertrand B.
2. Greyling R.	2. Lacombre T.
3. Simutoga V.	3. Merkler J.
4. Uanivi T.	4. Brennan J.
5. Kanika N.	5. Verge C.
6. Notshe S.	6. Willis J.
7. Ringuet K.	7. Banos L.
8. Viiga T.	8. Roumat A.
9. Zabalza H.	9. Graou P.
10. Bosviel J.	10. Delpy V.
11. Ahmed S.	11. Lebel M.
12. Mathy M.	12. Costes P.
13. Espeut M.	13. Thomas T.
14. Vici J.	14. Delibes D.
15. Mouchous B.	15. Richardis L.
Substitutes
16. Firmin K.	16. Faimanifo M.
17. Aouf L.	17. Baille C.
18. Maafu N.	18. Elias E.
19. Fifita V.	19. Portat R.
20. Wilkins K.	20. Castro-Ferreira M.
21. Powell J.	21. Pouzelgues C.
22. Vallee P.	22. Gil M.
23. Pomponio F.	23. Ainuu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 28)
13', Thomas T. (Try),
13', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
16', Delibes D. (Try),
16', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
19', Graou P. (Try),
19', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
28', Delibes D. (Try),
28', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 21)
45', Lebel M. (Try),
45', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
56', Thomas T. (Try),
56', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
59', Lebel M. (Try),
59', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
61', Mathy M. (Try),
61', Vallee P. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Montauban is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Toulouse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Toulouse is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
01.11.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	49:7 ✺
25.10.25	Montauban - Perpignan	29:22 ✺
18.10.25	La Rochelle - Montauban	54:19 ✺
11.10.25	Montauban - Castres	28:32 ✺
04.10.25	Clermont - Montauban	84:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
01.11.25	Toulouse - Stade Français	29:17 ✺
26.10.25	Toulouse - Toulon	59:24 ✺
18.10.25	Section Paloise - Toulouse	30:26 ✺
12.10.25	Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles	56:13 ✺
05.10.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse	40:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL

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