Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Asia	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, France 3
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Montpellier		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.03	45	10
	1.05	30.99	10.60	Watch
	1.04	51	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.01)	44.5 ↑ (41.51)	10.4 ↓ (13.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montpellier
89%

Draw
2.1%

Newport Gwent Dragons
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.1%

2.2%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montpellier - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:19

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Erdocio B.	. Woodman R.
. Taofifenua D.	1. Martinez R.
. Vincent T.	3. Coleman C.
5. Duguid T.	4. Douglas L.
6. Nouchi L. (C)	5. Carter B.
7. Becognee A.	7. Young T.
11. Banks T.	8. Wainwright A.
12. Anyanwu L.	9. Armstrong N.
16. Riccitelli R.	10. de Beer T.
18. Beard A.	11. Dyer R.
19. Tauleigne M.	12. Owen A.
20. Bernadet A.	13. Inisi F.
21. Rates M.	14. Richards D.
22. Cadot A.	15. O'Brien A.
23. Welsch V.	16. Dee E.
Substitutes
. Akrab L.	. Paea
. Camara Y.	2. Coghlan B.
. Darmon T.	6. Keddie H.
3. Haouas M.	17. Jones W.
8. Masibaka A.	18. Lewis D.
9. Baraer T.	19. Davies S.
10. Miotti H.	22. Lloyd J.
17. Abuladze N.	23. Anderson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 5)
10', Vincent T. (Penalty Goal),
25', Duguid T. (Try),
26', Vincent T. (Conversion Goal),
31', Owen A. (Try),
40+2', Vincent T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 7)
59', Abuladze N. 🟨,
67', Bernadet A. (Try),
73', Owen A. (Try),
73', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Dragons has had a series of away games.

In this match, Montpellier is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 40:26. (average 20:13).

Including home match between the teams, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier Hérault RC
French Top 14
25.04.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Montpellier	21:23 ✺
18.04.26	Montpellier - Perpignan	42:31 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.04.26	Montpellier - Connacht	45:22 ✺
04.04.26	Montpellier - Perpignan	0:28 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Toulouse - Montpellier	45:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLL
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
24.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	18:19 ✺
17.04.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Blue Bulls	7:47 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:35 ✺
05.04.26	Stade Français - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:36 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Lions - Newport Gwent Dragons	42:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
06.12.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Montpellier	14:18
23.04.16	Montpellier - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:12

Upcoming Matches