Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 13

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Newport Gwent Dragons		Ulster

	1	X	2
	3.1	23	1.4
	3	21	1.4
	3.15	23	1.41
	3.75	32	1.3	Watch
	3.4	23	1.33
	3.53	22	1.33	Watch
	3.15	23	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.07)	23.86 ↑ (21.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
28.2%

Draw
3.9%

Ulster
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

4.4%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Ulster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher-Griffiths D.	1. Reid C.
2. Dee E.	2. Herring R.
3. Coleman C.	3. O'Toole T.
4. Screech M.	4. O'Connor A.
5. Nott G.	5. Dalton M.
6. Lewis-Hughes S.	6. McCann D.
7. Keddie H.	7. Timoney N.
8. Wainwright A.	8. McNabney J.
9. Williams R.	9. Doak N.
10. Reed W.	10. Murphy J.
11. Hewitt A.	11. Stockdale J.
12. Owen A.	12. McCloskey S.
13. Westwood J.	13. Hume J.
14. Dyer R.	14. Lowry M.
15. Anderson H.	15. Moore S.
Substitutes
16. Coghlan B.	16. Andrew J.
17. Evans N.	17. Crean S.
18. Latu P.	18. Wilson S.
19. Cummins S.	19. Treadwell K.
20. Basham T.	20. Crothers R.
21. Blacker D.	21. Cooney J.
22. Thomas J.	22. Morgan A.
23. Rosser J.	23. Ward Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 14)
1', Owen A. (Try),
2', Reed W. (Conversion Goal),
10', Hume J. (Try),
11', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
14', Herring R. 🟨,
15', Reed W. (Penalty Goal),
21', Anderson H. (Try),
22', Reed W. (Conversion Goal),
28', Westwood J. 🟨,
29', Herring R. (Try),
30', Doak N. (Conversion Goal),
35', Williams R. (Try),
36', Reed W. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 20)
45', Doak N. (Try),
45', Herring R. (Conversion Goal),
48', Reed W. (Penalty Goal),
64', Reed W. (Penalty Goal),
66', Cooney J. (Penalty Goal),
71', Wilson S. (Try),
72', Murphy J. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Cooney J. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 0.

In this match Ulster is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Dragons won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 305:575 (average 16.1:30.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 158:220 (average 17.6:24.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
28.02.25	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:21 ✺
16.02.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	20:45 ✺
25.01.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster	19:38 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.25	Lions - Newport Gwent Dragons	60:10 ✺
12.01.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise	15:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
01.03.25	Ulster - Llanelli Scarlets	30:28 ✺
15.02.25	Benetton Treviso - Ulster	34:19 ✺
26.01.25	Ulster - Zebre	14:15 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.25	Ulster - Exeter Chiefs	52:24 ✺
11.01.25	Leicester Tigers - Ulster	38:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
02.03.24	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	49:26
14.04.23	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	40:19
20.02.22	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	0:12
13.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	22:26
25.10.20	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	40:17
03.03.19	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	15:28
26.10.18	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	36:18

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