Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Franklin's Gardens (Northampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Northampton Saints		Castres

	1	X	2
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.13	23	6.2
	1.05	41.65	9.62	Watch
	1.11	29	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↑ (1.03)	31.91 ↓ (41.67)	7.46 ↓ (10.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Northampton Saints
84.7%

Draw
2.9%

Castres
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.2%

2.2%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Northampton Saints - Castres Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Northampton Saints will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:22

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischetti D.	1. Walcker Q.
2. Wright C.	2. Durand T.
3. Green L.	3. Corato N.
4. Lockett T.	4. Ducat G.
5. Mescht JJ	5. Vanverberghe F.
6. Kemeny J.	6. Delaporte B.
7. Pollock H.	7. Ardron T.
8. Chick C.	8. Papalii A.
9. McParland A.	9. Fernandez J.
10. Belleau A.	10. Herve E.
11. Ramm J.	11. Karawalevu V.
12. Dingwall F.	12. Goodhue J.
13. Litchfield T.	13. Botitu V.
14. Freeman T.	14. Ambadiang C.
15. Furbank G.	15. Chabouni T.
Substitutes
16. Langdon C.	16. Colonna P.
17. West T.	17. Galisson L.
18. Kundiona C.	18. Azar A.
19. Prowse E.	19. Maravat G.
20. Munga C.	20. Cope B.
21. Pearson T.	21. Ramototabua V.
22. Weimann J.	22. Arata S.
23. Hutchinson R.	23. Palis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 15)
7', Ambadiang C. (Try),
11', Chabouni T. (Try),
12', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
15', (Penalty Try),
15', Ambadiang C. 🟨,
18', Ducat G. 🟨,
23', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
23', Fischetti D. (Try),
24', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (35 - 26)
42', Kemeny J. (Try),
43', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
51', Freeman T. (Try),
52', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
53', Ardron T. (Try),
56', Karawalevu V. (Try),
56', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
60', Furbank G. (Try),
60', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
63', McParland A. (Try),
64', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
67', Botitu V. (Try),
67', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
69', Ramototabua V. 🟨,
70', Dingwall F. (Try),
71', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Ambadiang C. (Try),
80+1', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 4.

Northampton Saints is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Northampton Saints is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 184:141. (average 23:17.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton Saints won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 148:60. (average 29.6:12).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
28.03.26	Saracens - Northampton Saints	17:21 ✺
21.03.26	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	28:27 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
08.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	31:14 ✺
28.02.26	Northampton Saints - Saracens	35:33 ✺
20.02.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Northampton Saints	21:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
28.03.26	Castres - Montauban	49:17 ✺
21.03.26	Racing Métro - Castres	52:21 ✺
28.02.26	Castres - La Rochelle	26:31 ✺
14.02.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Castres	57:32 ✺
31.01.26	Castres - Clermont	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
12.04.25	Northampton Saints - Castres	51:16
07.12.24	Northampton Saints - Castres	38:8
14.01.17	Northampton Saints - Castres	28:21
22.10.16	Castres - Northampton Saints	41:7
Heineken Cup
17.01.14	Northampton Saints - Castres	13:3
12.10.13	Castres - Northampton Saints	19:13
11.01.13	Northampton Saints - Castres	18:12

Upcoming Matches