Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Franklin's Gardens (Northampton)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Northampton Saints		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.33	23	3.5
	1.26	29	4.1
	1.25	25.25	4.31
	1.29	26	3.6
	1.23	26	4.49
	1.26	29	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.22)	26.32 ↑ (23.5)	4.06 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Saints
73.6%

Draw
3.5%

Clermont
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

3.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Northampton Saints - Clermont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iyogun E.	1. Akhaladze G.
2. Langdon C.	2. Massa B.
3. Davidson T.	3. Ojovan C.
4. Mayanavanua T.	4. Simmons R.
5. Coles A.	5. Ceyte T.
6. Kemeny J.	6. Sowakula P.
7. Pollock H.	7. Tixeront K.
8. Augustus J.	8. Lee F. (C)
9. Mitchell A.	9. Bezy S.
10. Smith F.	10. Belleau A.
11. Hendy G.	11. Raka A.
12. Dingwall F. (C)	12. Moala G.
13. Odendaal B.	13. Simone I.
14. Freeman T.	14. Delguy B.
15. Ramm J.	15. Newsome A.
Substitutes
16. Walker H.	16. Faingaa F.
17. West T.	17. Falgoux E.
18. Green L.	18. Alaalatoa M.
19. Lockett T.	19. Hemery A.
20. Scott-Young A.	20. Fischer A.
21. Pearson T.	21. Bousquet J.
22. James T.	22. Urdapilleta B.
23. Hutchinson R.	23. Fouyssac P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (27 - 10)
5', Belleau A. (Penalty Goal),
12', Moala G. (Try),
13', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
16', Smith F. (Penalty Goal),
19', Smith F. (Try),
20', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
24', Freeman T. (Try),
30', Freeman T. (Try),
35', Ceyte T. 🟨,
40+2', Augustus J. (Try),
40+3', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 14)
42', Bezy S. 🟨,
47', Augustus J. (Try),
48', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
50', Raka A. (Try),
51', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
56', Faingaa F. (Try),
57', Belleau A. (Conversion Goal),
61', Freeman T. (Try),
72', Pollock H. (Try),
73', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton Saints won 1.

Recent matches Northampton Saints is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Clermont is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Northampton Saints is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Northampton Saints won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 144:232 (average 24:38.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton Saints won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 54:62 (average 27:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby
28.03.25	Sale Sharks - Northampton Saints	27:24 ✺
21.03.25	Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers	0:33 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
01.03.25	Northampton Saints - Ealing Trailfinders	26:43 ✺
14.02.25	Nottingham RFC - Northampton Saints	33:66 ✺
08.02.25	Northampton Saints - Coventry	50:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
29.03.25	Clermont - La Rochelle	33:19 ✺
22.03.25	Clermont - Racing Métro	21:23 ✺
02.03.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	31:18 ✺
23.02.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Clermont	22:18 ✺
16.02.25	Clermont - Toulouse	18:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
31.03.19	Clermont - Northampton Saints	61:38
12.01.19	Clermont - Northampton Saints	48:40
13.10.18	Northampton Saints - Clermont	20:41
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.18	Northampton Saints - Clermont	34:21
21.10.17	Clermont - Northampton Saints	24:7
04.04.15	Clermont - Northampton Saints	37:5

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