The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rebels 12.5%
Draw 2.7%
Chiefs 84.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.5%
2.5%
79%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rebels's form might have worsened.
Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.
Rebels - Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:41
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kailea I. A.
1. Ross A.
2. Uelese J.
2. Taukei'aho S.
3. Talakai S.
3. Dyer G.
4. Tualima T.
4. Selby-Rickit M.
5. Canham J.
5. Vaa'i T.
6. Kemeny J.
6. Parker S.
7. Wilkin B.
7. Boshier K.
8. Ekuasi V.
8. Jacobson L. B. (C)
9. Louwrens R.
9. Ratima C.
10. Gordon C.
10. McKenzie D.
11. Lancaster D.
11. Nanai-Seturo E.
12. Jooste N.
12. Tupaea Q.
13. Daugunu F.
13. Lienert-Brown A.
14. Anderson L.
14. Narawa E.
15. Strachan J.
15. Stevenson S.
Substitutes
16. Dobbins E.
16. Slater B.
17. Gibbon M.
17. Proffit J.
18. Faamausili P.
18. O’Neill R.
19. Smith A.
19. Ah Kuoi N.
20. Nabolakasi M.
20. Sititi W.
21. Leota R. (C)
21. Roe X.
22. Maunder J.
22. Ioane J.
23. Vaihu G.
23. Poihipi R.
Coaches
. Foote K.
. McMillan C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (11 - 13)
4', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
7', Vaihu G. (Try),
8', Jooste N. (Missed Conversion),
19', Jooste N. (Penalty Goal),
23', Vaa'i T. (Try),
25', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
27', Vaa'i T. 🟨,
40', Jooste N. (Penalty Goal),
40', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 13)
46', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
47', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
53', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
57', Anderson L. (Try),
59', Jooste N. (Missed Conversion),
75', Anderson L. (Try),
75', Jooste N. (Conversion Goal),
79', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rebels won 0.
Recent matches Rebels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chiefs is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Chiefs is absolute favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Rebels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 134-250.
Including matches at home between the teams Rebels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 68-134.
Africa
Australia
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Kailea I. A. 
Ross A. 
Smith A. 
Maunder J. 
Foote K. 
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