The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Waratahs 20.6%
Draw 3.4%
Chiefs 76%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.9%
3.1%
71%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
3%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waratahs's form might have worsened.
Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Waratahs - Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:38
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bell A.
1. Norris O.
2. Dobbins E.
2. Taukei'aho S.
3. Botha D.
3. Dyer G.
4. Sinclair H.
4. Selby-Rickit M.
5. Grant B.
5. Vaa'i T.
6. Leota R.
6. Finau S.
7. Adamson J.
7. Jacobson L. (C)
8. Gleeson L.
8. Parker S.
9. Wilson T.
9. Ratima C.
10. Creighton L.
10. Jacomb J.
11. Reilly T.
11. Carter L.
12. Walton J.
12. Tupaea Q.
13. Foketi L.
13. Wrampling G.
14. Kellaway A.
14. Stevenson S.
15. Sua'ali'i J.
15. McKenzie D.
Substitutes
16. Heaven J.
16. Slater B.
17. Kailea I.
17. Proffit J.
18. Tupou T.
18. O’Neill R.
19. Amatosero M.
19. Ah Kuoi N.
20. Talataina L.
20. Boshier K.
21. Grant J.
21. Roe X.
22. Bowen J.
22. Rona D.
23. O'Donnell H.
23. Narawa E.
Coaches
. McKellar D.
. McMillan C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 7)
19', Sua'ali'i J. (Try),
20', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
20', Parker S. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
24', Reilly T. (Try),
25', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
30', Carter L. (Try),
31', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
35', Wrampling G. 🟨,
2nd Half (7 - 7)
45', Wilson T. (Try),
46', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
46', Selby-Rickit M. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
46', Wrampling G. ↓, Rona D. ↑,
46', Dyer G. ↓, O’Neill R. ↑,
50', Jacomb J. ↓, Narawa E. ↑,
52', Finau S. (Try),
53', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
55', Botha D. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
55', Foketi L. ↓, O'Donnell H. ↑,
55', Taukei'aho S. ↓, Slater B. ↑,
55', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
58', Dobbins E. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
58', Gleeson L. ↓, Talataina L. ↑,
60', Wilson T. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
65', Grant B. ↓, Amatosero M. ↑,
67', Ratima C. ↓, Roe X. ↑,
67', Bell A. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
67', Creighton L. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
78', Amatosero M. 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 0.
Recent matches Waratahs is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Chiefs is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Waratahs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Chiefs is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Waratahs won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 235:370 (average 21.4:33.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Waratahs won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 102:178 (average 20.4:35.6).
Africa
Argentina
Australia
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
New-zealand
Nigeria
Peru
South-africa
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Bell A. 
Norris O. 
Botha D. 
Adamson J. 
Heaven J. 
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