The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hurricanes 63.8%
Draw 4.1%
Chiefs 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
4.5%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.9%
4.4%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Hurricanes - Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Numia X.
1. Norris O.
2. Aumua A. (C)
2. Taukei'aho S.
3. Tosi P.
3. Ahio S.
4. Walker-Leawere I.
4. Lord J.
5. Dearns W.
5. Vaa'i T.
6. Flanders D.
6. Finau S.
7. Kirifi D.
7. Jacobson L. (C)
8. Lakai P.
8. Parker S.
9. Roigard C.
9. Ratima C.
10. Love R.
10. McKenzie D.
11. Fineanganofo F.
11. Taumoefolau K.
12. Barrett J.
12. Tupaea Q.
13. Proctor B.
13. Brown K.
14. Moorby J.
14. Carter L.
15. Harkin C.
15. Coombes-Fabling L.
Substitutes
16. Devery J.
16. McAlister B.
17. Lauaki S.
17. Proffit J.
18. Lomax T.
18. Dyer G.
19. Shields B.
19. Ah Kuoi N.
20. Iose B.
20. Boshier K.
21. Enari E.
21. Roe X.
22. Rova J.
22. Jacomb J.
23. Naholo K.
23. Paul R.
Coaches
. Laidlaw C.
. Gibbes J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (29 - 0)
6', Moorby J. (Try),
7', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
13', Love R. (Try),
14', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
22', Ahio S. ↓, Dyer G. ↑,
23', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
24', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
37', Harkin C. (Try),
38', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Love R. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (31 - 5)
43', Moorby J. (Try),
44', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
45', Vaa'i T. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
47', Flanders D. (Try),
48', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
49', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
49', Brown K. ↓, Paul R. ↑,
49', Taumoefolau K. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
49', Tosi P. ↓, Lomax T. ↑,
53', Barrett J. (Try),
54', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
54', Ratima C. ↓, Roe X. ↑,
54', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
54', Dearns W. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
54', Flanders D. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
57', Harkin C. ↓, Naholo K. ↑,
57', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
62', Parker S. ↓, Boshier K. ↑,
63', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
65', Finau S. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
65', Aumua A. ↓, Devery J. ↑,
66', Love R. (Try),
67', Barrett J. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
67', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
74', Ah Kuoi N. (Try),
77', Rova J. (Try),
79', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Chiefs has had a series of home games.
Hurricanes might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Hurricanes will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 506:473. (average 25.3:23.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 314:266. (average 28.5:24.2).
Africa
France
Nigeria
South-africa
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Numia X. 
Dearns W. 
Taumoefolau K. 
Brown K. 
Shields B. 
Laidlaw C. 
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