Match Info
WORLD: Super Rugby - Round 10Date: 26 April 2024, FridayLocation: Apollo Projects Stadium (Christchurch)Referee: Mabey A. (Nzl)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Crusaders |
|
Rebels |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.22 |
26 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.2 |
23 |
4.5 |
|
 |
1.26 |
20 |
4.2 |
 Watch |
 |
1.22 |
23 |
4.33 |
|
 |
1.23 |
23 |
4.36 |
|
 |
1.24 |
27 |
4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.26) |
23.67 ↑
(21.6) |
4.29 ↑
(4.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 60.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crusaders
74.7% | Draw
3.9% | Rebels
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Crusaders - Rebels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Bower G.
| 1.  Gibbon M.
|
2. McAlister B.
| 2. Mafi A.
|
3. Newell F.
| 3. Talakai S.
|
4. Barrett S.
| 4. Tualima T.
|
5. Strange Q.
| 5. Canham J.
|
6. Grace C.
| 6. Kemeny J.
|
7. Blackadder E.
| 7.  Nabolakasi M.
|
8. Lio-Willie C.
| 8. Ekuasi V.
|
9. Drummond M.
| 9. Louwrens R.
|
10. Reihana R.
| 10. Gordon C.
|
11. Murray H.
| 11. Lancaster D.
|
12. McLeod D.
| 12.  Feliuai D.
|
13. Aumua L.
| 13. Daugunu F.
|
14. Reece S.
| 14. Anderson L.
|
15.  McNicholl J.
| 15. Kellaway A.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Bell G.
| 16. Uelese J.
|
17. Moody J.
| 17. Kailea I. A.
|
18. Franks O.
| 18. Tupou T.
|
19. Hannah J.
| 19. Smith A.
|
20. Kellow C.
| 20. Leota R.
|
21. Hotham N.
| 21.  Maunder J.
|
22. Havili D.
| 22. Proctor M.
|
23. Fihaki C.
| 23. Jooste N.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Penney R.
| .  Foote K.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 0)
- 10', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
- 12', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
- 17', Grace C. (Try),
- 18', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
- 31', Talakai S. ↓, Uelese J. ↑,
- 31', Mafi A. ↓, Kailea I. A. ↑,
- 31', Gibbon M. ↓, Tupou T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (29 - 0)
- 44', Lio-Willie C. (Try),
- 45', Nabolakasi M. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
- 45', Reihana R. (Missed Conversion),
- 50', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Lio-Willie C. ↓, Kellow C. ↑,
- 51', McLeod D. ↓, Havili D. ↑,
- 53', McAlister B. ↓, Bell G. ↑,
- 56', Feliuai D. ↓, Proctor M. ↑,
- 56', Drummond M. ↓, Hotham N. ↑,
- 62', Newell F. ↓, Moody J. ↑,
- 62', Bower G. ↓, Franks O. ↑,
- 63', Franks O. (Try),
- 64', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Louwrens R. ↓, Maunder J. ↑,
- 64', Murray H. ↓, Fihaki C. ↑,
- 66', Barrett S. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
- 72', Gordon C. ↓, Jooste N. ↑,
- 73', Reece S. (Try),
- 74', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Kailea I. A. ↓, Gibbon M. ↑,
- 79', McNicholl J. (Try),
- 80', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).Last 5 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 5. Crusaders is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Rebels is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Crusaders could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Crusaders is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 498-244. Including matches at home between the teams Crusaders won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 263-115.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 21.04.23 | Rebels - Crusaders | 27:43 | | 24.04.22 | Crusaders - Rebels | 42:17 | | 12.06.21 | Rebels - Crusaders | 26:52 | | 08.06.19 | Crusaders - Rebels | 66:0 | | 04.05.18 | Rebels - Crusaders | 10:55 | | 27.05.17 | Rebels - Crusaders | 19:41 | | 09.07.16 | Crusaders - Rebels | 85:26 |
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