Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 13Date: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Highlanders |
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Waratahs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.36 |
23 |
3.2 |
|
 |
1.34 |
26 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.36 |
24.6 |
3.36 |
|
 |
1.36 |
29 |
3.1 |
|
 |
1.34 |
21 |
3.51 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.39) |
24.72 ↑ (19.52) |
3.29 ↑ (3.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Highlanders 68.3% | Draw 3.7% | Waratahs 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Highlanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waratahs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)Highlanders - Waratahs Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Highlanders will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. de Groot E.
| 1. Kailea I.
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2. Taylor J.
| 2. Dobbins E.
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3. Taavao A.
| 3. Botha D.
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4. Lavanini T.
| 4. Amatosero M.
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5. Dunshea M.
| 5. Blyth A.
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6. Howden T.
| 6. Scott-Young A.
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7. Casey L.
| 7. Gamble C.
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8. Broughton N.
| 8. Samu P.
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9. Lennox A.
| 9. Gordon J.
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10. Millar C.
| 10. Debreczeni J.
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11. Lowe J.
| 11. Harvey S.
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12. Tavatavanawai T.
| 12. Creighton L.
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13. Nareki J.
| 13. Sua'ali'i J.
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14. Tangitau C.
| 14. Kellaway A.
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15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
| 15. Jorgensen M.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Vikena S.
| 16. Faingaa F.
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17. Lienert-Brown D.
| 17. Barrett J.
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18. Ma'u S.
| 18. Ranawai A.
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19. Haig O.
| 19. Halaholo C.
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20. Withy S.
| 20. Talataina L.
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21. Shearer N.
| 21. Wilson T.
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22. Robinson T.
| 22. Bowen J.
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23. Tito-Harris X.
| 23. Potter H.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Joseph J.
| . McKellar D.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (28 - 7)
- 6', Lowe J. (Try),
- 7', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Tangitau C. (Try),
- 12', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
- 19', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Tavatavanawai T. 🟨,
- 22', Kellaway A. (Try),
- 23', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Blyth A. ↓, Halaholo C. ↑,
- 34', Lowe J. (Try),
- 35', Millar C. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Kellaway A. ↓, Potter H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 19)
- 44', Dobbins E. ↓, Faingaa F. ↑,
- 44', Botha D. ↓, Ranawai A. ↑,
- 44', Ranawai A. (Try),
- 48', Dunshea M. ↓, Haig O. ↑,
- 48', Kailea I. ↓, Barrett J. ↑,
- 57', Casey L. ↓, Withy S. ↑,
- 57', Lennox A. ↓, Shearer N. ↑,
- 57', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 57', Debreczeni J. ↓, Bowen J. ↑,
- 58', Nareki J. 🟥,
- 60', Taavao A. ↓, Ma'u S. ↑,
- 60', de Groot E. ↓, Lienert-Brown D. ↑,
- 62', Faingaa F. ↓, Dobbins E. ↑,
- 65', Gamble C. ↓, Talataina L. ↑,
- 66', Taylor J. ↓, Vikena S. ↑,
- 68', Lowe J. ↓, Tito-Harris X. ↑,
- 68', Halaholo C. (Try),
- 68', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Millar C. (Missed Penalty),
- 78', Harvey S. (Try),
- 78', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+1', Millar C. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Highlanders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Highlanders is a strong favorite.We predict that Highlanders will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Highlanders won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 393:351. (average 28.1:25.1).Including home matches between the teams, Highlanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 198:114. (average 33:19).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 14.02.25 | Waratahs - Highlanders | 37:36 | | 08.03.24 | Waratahs - Highlanders | 21:23 | | 28.04.23 | Waratahs - Highlanders | 21:20 | | 21.05.22 | Highlanders - Waratahs | 20:32 | | 05.06.21 | Highlanders - Waratahs | 59:23 | | 14.06.19 | Highlanders - Waratahs | 49:12 | | 21.07.18 | Waratahs - Highlanders | 30:23 |
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