The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reds 31.7%
Draw 4%
Chiefs 64.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
4.4%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
4.5%
64.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiefs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Reds - Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:33
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Blake G.
1. Norris O.
2. Faessler M.
2. Thompson T.
3. Nonggorr Z.
3. Dyer G.
4. Uru S.
4. Lord J.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
5. Vaa'i T.
6. Brial J.
6. Parker S.
7. Mcreight F.
7. Jacobson L.
8. Wilson H.
8. Sititi W.
9. Thomas K.
9. Roe X.
10. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
10. McKenzie D.
11. Anderson L.
11. Coombes-Fabling L.
12. Paisami H.
12. Tupaea Q.
13. Flook J.
13. Brown K.
14. Daugunu F.
14. Taumoefolau K.
15. Campbell J.
15. Hutchinson I.
Substitutes
16. Nasser J.
16. Taukei'aho S.
17. Toomaga-Allen J.
17. Proffit J.
18. Bloomfield N.
18. O’Neill R.
19. Muller H.
19. Sa F.
20. Latu V.
20. Ah Kuoi N.
21. Werchon L.
21. Ratima C.
22. Gordon C.
22. Jacomb J.
23. Pritchard T.
23. Foketi L.
Coaches
. Kiss L.
. McMillan C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (7 - 10)
8', Anderson L. (Try),
9', McLaughlin-Phillips H. (Conversion Goal),
11', Sititi W. (Try),
12', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
16', McKenzie D. (Missed Penalty),
36', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
36', Lord J. ↓, Sa F. ↑,
2nd Half (14 - 21)
47', Thompson T. ↓, Taukei'aho S. ↑,
51', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
52', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
52', McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↓, Gordon C. ↑,
52', Faessler M. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
52', Brown K. ↓, Foketi L. ↑,
52', Blake G. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
58', Anderson L. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
58', Thomas K. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
59', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
59', Dyer G. ↓, Ahio S. ↑,
60', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
61', Hutchinson I. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
61', Roe X. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
65', Brial J. (Try),
66', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
69', Toomaga-Allen J. 🟨,
70', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
71', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
71', Parker S. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
74', Pritchard T. (Try),
75', Werchon L. (Conversion Goal),
78', Uru S. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
79', Sititi W. (Try),
79', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
79', Blake G. ↓, Uru S. ↑,
79', Uru S. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 2.
In recent matches, Reds has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chiefs is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Reds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chiefs could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Reds won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 221:376. (average 17:28.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 110:190. (average 15.7:27.1).
Argentina
Australia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Blake G. 
Norris O. 
Brown K. 
Taumoefolau K. 
Toomaga-Allen J. 
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