The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chiefs 83.4%
Draw 2.9%
Reds 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
80.4%
3.1%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Reds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Chiefs - Reds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:21
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Norris O.
1. Ross A.
2. Taukei'aho S.
2. Nasser J.
3. Ahio S.
3. Nonggorr Z.
4. Lord J.
4. Canham J.
5. Vaa'i T.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
6. Parker S.
6. Brial J.
7. Jacobson L. (C)
7. Mcreight F.
8. Sititi W.
8. Wilson H.
9. Ratima C.
9. McDermott T. (C)
10. McKenzie D.
10. Gordon C.
11. Taumoefolau K.
11. Ryan T.
12. Tupaea Q.
12. Daugunu F.
13. Brown K.
13. Flook J.
14. Coombes-Fabling L.
14. Anderson L.
15. Hutchinson I.
15. Campbell J.
Substitutes
16. McAlister B.
16. Faessler M.
17. Proffit J.
17. Blake G.
18. Dyer G.
18. De Lutiis M.
19. Ah Kuoi N.
19. Muller H.
20. Finau S.
20. Latu V.
21. Tahuriorangi T.
21. Thomas K.
22. Jacomb J.
22. Volavola B.
23. Carter L.
23. Pritchard T.
Coaches
. Gibbes J.
. Kiss L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (22 - 17)
3', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
6', Salakaia-Loto L. (Try),
6', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
7', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
7', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
18', Sititi W. ↓, Finau S. ↑,
18', Salakaia-Loto L. 🟨,
19', Taukei'aho S. (Try),
20', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
27', Ross A. (Try),
28', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
32', Brown K. 🟨,
35', Gordon C. (Penalty Goal),
35', Flook J. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
40', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
40+1', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 7)
41', Pritchard T. ↓, Flook J. ↑,
44', Daugunu F. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
47', McKenzie D. (Try),
47', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
48', Nasser J. ↓, Faessler M. ↑,
48', Ahio S. ↓, Dyer G. ↑,
55', Lord J. ↓, Ah Kuoi N. ↑,
55', Nonggorr Z. ↓, De Lutiis M. ↑,
56', Brown K. ↓, Foketi L. ↑,
56', Taumoefolau K. ↓, Jacomb J. ↑,
57', Pritchard T. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
57', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
60', Norris O. ↓, Proffit J. ↑,
60', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
60', Ryan T. ↓, Pritchard T. ↑,
64', McKenzie D. (Try),
64', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
64', Wilson H. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
68', Faessler M. (Try),
69', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
72', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
72', Brial J. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
75', Ratima C. ↓, Tahuriorangi T. ↑,
75', Salakaia-Loto L. ↓, Muller H. ↑,
75', Gordon C. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
78', Hutchinson I. (Try),
79', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 4.
Chiefs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Reds has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chiefs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chiefs is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chiefs won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 407:242. (average 29.1:17.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chiefs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 186:111. (average 31:18.5).
Africa
New-zealand
Nigeria
South-africa
United-kingdom
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Norris O. 
Ross A. 
Taumoefolau K. 
Brown K. 
Volavola B. 
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