Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade du Hameau (Pau)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Section Paloise		Blue Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.18	34	4.75
	1.19	30	4.6
	1.03	26.14	14.82	Watch
	1.2	26	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	29.04 ↓ (31.67)	7.17 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Section Paloise
83.3%

Draw
3.3%

Blue Bulls
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.4%

2.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Blue Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Section Paloise - Blue Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Section Paloise will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Section Paloise (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Biziwu D.	1. Wessels J.
2. Rey L.	2. van der Merwe A.
3. Papidze G.	3. Smith M.
4. Auradou H.	4. Vermaak R.
5. Maximin J.	5. Ludwig R.
6. Whitelock L. (C)	6. Coetzee M. (C)
7. Credoz L.	7. Gumede M.
8. Tuipulotu C.	8. Carr N.
9. Robson D.	9. Burger Z.
10. Mondinat C.	10. Pollard H.
11. Grandidier A.	11. Arendse K.
12. Valentino Q.	12. Vorster H.
13. Decron N.	13. de Klerk S.
14. Attissogbe T.	14. Jooste C.
15. Maddocks J.	15. Le Roux W.
Substitutes
16. Montoya J.	16. van Staden M.
17. Seneca R.	17. Tshakweni A.
18. Laclayat T.	18. Klopper F.
19. Jolmes T.	19. Wiese C.
20. Picquette R.	20. Nortje R.
21. Isa F.	21. Johannes K.
22. Souverbie T.	22. Kriel D.
23. Brau-Boirie F.	23. Rudolph J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 12)
4', Gumede M. (Try),
10', Delhommel Y. (Try),
11', Mondinat C. (Conversion Goal),
30', van der Merwe A. (Try),
31', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
33', Maximin J. (Try),
34', Souverbie T. (Conversion Goal),
39', Ludwig R. 🟨,
40', Delhommel Y. (Try),
40+2', Souverbie T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (3 - 14)
49', Souverbie T. (Penalty Goal),
59', Jooste C. (Try),
60', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
71', Laclayat T. 🟨,
73', Carr N. (Try),
74', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent performances by Section Paloise have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blue Bulls is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Section Paloise has had a series of away games.

In this match, Section Paloise is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Section Paloise
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Section Paloise	38:47 ✺
French Top 14
03.01.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	22:17 ✺
28.12.25	Section Paloise - Montpellier	35:33 ✺
20.12.25	Montauban - Section Paloise	17:53 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Section Paloise	61:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWL
- Blue Bulls Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.01.26	Blue Bulls - Bristol Rugby	49:61 ✺
United Rugby Championship
03.01.26	Stormers - Blue Bulls	13:8 ✺
20.12.25	Sharks - Blue Bulls	21:12 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Northampton Saints - Blue Bulls	50:5 ✺
06.12.25	Blue Bulls - Bordeaux Bègles	33:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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