Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 4

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday


	King Country		South Canterbury

	1	X	2
	3.12	30	1.35
	3.15	30	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	30 (30)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

King Country
29.3%

Draw
3.1%

South Canterbury
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

3.1%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

King Country has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for South Canterbury have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Preview

In this match, South Cant is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, King Country won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 95:154. (average 23.8:38.5).

Including home match between the teams, King Country won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:21.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	King Country	8	6	0	2	363:215	32
5	South Cant	8	5	0	3	391:253	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- King Country Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
28.08.26	North Otago - King Country	32:31 ✺
21.08.26	King Country - Thames Valley	12:19 ✺
14.08.26	Horowhenua-Kapiti - King Country	41:45 ✺
03.10.25	East Coast - King Country	14:73
26.09.25	King Country - Whanganui	24:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWL
- South Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
28.08.26	South Canterbury - Buller	73:10
21.08.26	South Canterbury - West Coast	85:10
14.08.26	East Coast - South Canterbury	20:44
10.10.25	South Canterbury - Thames Valley	31:61 ✺
03.10.25	South Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
06.09.24	South Canterbury - King Country	33:19
27.09.19	King Country - South Canterbury	19:21
19.10.18	South Canterbury - King Country	58:21
01.09.17	South Canterbury - King Country	42:36

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