Match Info
Six Nations - Round 2Date: 15 February 2026, SundayLocation: Principality Stadium (Cardiff)Referee: Doleman J. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Asia | TV5 Monde Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | ESPN 3 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | TF 1 |
Ireland | RTE 2, RTE Player |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital |
|
 |
|
 |
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Wales |
|
France |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
26 |
67 |
1 |
|
 |
13 |
50 |
1.01 |
|
 |
18.14 |
39.96 |
1.02 |
Watch |
 |
19 |
26 |
1 |
|
 |
18.7 |
27 |
1.01 |
Watch |
 |
16 |
36 |
1.01 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
18.47 ↑ (16.04) |
40.99 ↓ (42.49) |
1.01 ↓ (1.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-32)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wales 5.1% | Draw 2.3% | France 92.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Wales - France Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 63.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:48 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Carre R.
| 1. Gros J.
|
2. Lake D. (C)
| 2. Marchand J.
|
3. Francis T.
| 3. Aldegheri D.
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4. Jenkins D.
| 4. Ollivon C.
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5. Beard A.
| 5. Guillard M.
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6. Wainwright A.
| 6. Cros F.
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7. Mann A.
| 7. Jegou O.
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8. Cracknell O.
| 8. Jelonch A.
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9. Williams T.
| 9. Dupont A. (C)
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10. Edwards D.
| 10. Jalibert M.
|
11. Adams J.
| 11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
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12. Hawkins J.
| 12. Brau-Boirie F.
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13. James E.
| 13. Gailleton E.
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14. Mee E.
| 14. Attissogbe T.
|
15. Rees-Zammit L.
| 15. Ramos T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Elias R.
| 16. Lamothe M.
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17. Smith N.
| 17. Neti R.
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18. Griffin A.
| 18. Montagne R.
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19. Carter B.
| 19. Flament T.
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20. Plumtree T.
| 20. Meafou E.
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21. Hardy K.
| 21. Nouchi L.
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22. Evans J.
| 22. Serin B.
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23. Grady M.
| 23. Nene N.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Tandy S.
| . Galthie F.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 26)
- 2', Gailleton E. (Try),
- 3', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 12', Ramos T. (Missed Conversion),
- 15', Brau-Boirie F. (Try),
- 16', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Carre R. (Try),
- 20', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Jalibert M. (Try),
- 39', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (5 - 28)
- 44', Marchand J. (Try),
- 46', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 50', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Marchand J. ↓, Lamothe M. ↑,
- 51', Gros J. ↓, Neti R. ↑,
- 51', Aldegheri D. ↓, Montagne R. ↑,
- 51', Carre R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
- 51', Francis T. ↓, Griffin A. ↑,
- 51', Lake D. ↓, Elias R. ↑,
- 51', Cracknell O. ↓, Plumtree T. ↑,
- 52', Jelonch A. ↓, Nouchi L. ↑,
- 52', Guillard M. ↓, Meafou E. ↑,
- 52', Cros F. ↓, Flament T. ↑,
- 54', Edwards D. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 54', Mee E. ↓, Grady M. ↑,
- 58', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 58', Dupont A. ↓, Serin B. ↑,
- 59', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Ollivon C. (Try),
- 62', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Beard A. ↓, Carter B. ↑,
- 65', Meafou E. ↓, Guillard M. ↑,
- 71', Gailleton E. ↓, Nene N. ↑,
- 71', Williams T. ↓, Hardy K. ↑,
- 78', Grady M. (Try),
- 79', Evans J. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 0. In this match, France is the undisputed favorite.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wales won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 310:359. (average 18.2:21.1).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 218:93 | 21 |
|
|
|
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| 6 | Wales | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 76:195 | 3 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;