Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
World	Disney+


	Águila		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.71	3.56	4.49
	1.71	3.63	4.38	Watch
	1.68	3.52	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.39 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
53.3%

Draw
26%

Real Estelí
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Águila - Real Estelí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia R. (G) 7. Reyes K. 2. Sibrian J. 28. Rodriguez R. 13. Larin A. 24. Ceren D. (C) 14. Cartagena M. 5. Granitto T. 6. Rivas D. 9. Sosa B. 44. Villatoro R.	25. Vega J. (G) 34. Gutierrez J. 19. Martinez E. J. 4. Fletes M. 3. Nino H. 6. Ochoa I. 7. Bonilla B. 13. Baez A. 8. Vieyra J. 10. Medina H. (C) 21. Ordonez B.
Substitutes
3. Cruz M. 27. Diaz H. 36. Jose R. 90. Loza O. 29. Medrano E. 15. Ortiz C. 4. Pineda W. 8. Ramirez J. 30. Saravia A. 10. Tinga 22. Villalobos B. (G)	20. Batiz K. 26. Cunningham S. 40. Flores H. 1. Forvis E. D. (G) 28. Gallego P. 11. Hernandez B. 18. Parra W. 22. Salandia C. (G) 14. Salmeron I. 12. Talavera W. 2. Vallecillo F. 53. Zambrana N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Baez A. 🟨,
45', Vieyra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Vallecillo F. ↑,
46', Baez A. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
54', Rivas D. ↓, Tinga ↑,
64', Ordonez B. ↓, Parra W. ↑,
64', Tinga ↓, Medrano E. ↑,
68', Cartagena M. 🟨,
70', Granitto T. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
76', Vieyra J. ↓, Batiz K. ↑,
82', Fletes M. ↓, Cunningham S. ↑,
85', Sosa B. 🟨,
86', Reyes K. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Real Estelí is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Águila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Águila is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Águila won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Águila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.24	Real Estelí - Águila	2:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.09.24	Águila - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Águila - Municipal Limeño	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	1:0 ✺
11.09.24	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.24	Real Estelí - Águila	2:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
21.09.24	Real Estelí - Managua	4:0 ✺
14.09.24	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.08.24	Guanacasteca - Real Estelí	1:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
24.08.24	Real Estelí - Deportivo Ocotal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
25.09.24	Real Estelí - Águila	2:1
CONCACAF League
08.08.17	Real Estelí - Águila	1:1 penalties
02.08.17	Águila - Real Estelí	1:0

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