Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Águilas		La Unión

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.45
	2.17	2.81	3.94
	2.17	2.76	3.78
	2.13	2.82	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	3.7 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
42.5%

Draw
32.7%

La Unión
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

32.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

La Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for La Unión aligns with the current prediction.

Águilas - La Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Pipo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Mas J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Águilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Águilas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

La Unión - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Águilas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Águilas - Estepona	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Minera - Águilas	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Águilas - Melilla	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWL
- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	La Unión - CD Extremadura	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Atlético Malagueño - La Unión	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Almeria B - La Unión	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.04.25	La Unión - Águilas	0:1
15.12.24	Águilas - La Unión	0:0
14.04.24	Águilas - La Unión	2:0
03.12.23	La Unión - Águilas	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.02.23	Águilas - La Unión	3:0
30.10.22	La Unión - Águilas	0:0
24.03.19	Águilas - La Unión	2:1

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