The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Árabe Unido 42.9%
Draw 30.7%
Independiente de la Chorrera 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
29.6%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
27.7%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Independiente de la Chorrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Árabe Unido - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Polo R. (G) 19. Harrison J. 94. Chara G. 4. Bernal D. 3. Llerena O. 25. De Los Rios A. 26. Reefer O. 29. Valencia J. (C) 20. Collymore R. 99. Canales A. 8. McKenzie A.
1. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Phillips K. 5. Angulo Garces K. J. 52. Cifuentes A. 21. Modelo J. 6. Fields L. 13. Arboleda J. 10. Aguila R. (C) 16. Obando J. 22. Waterman B. 43. Gomez V.
Substitutes
7. Burgess R. 30. Ceballos M. 9. Cox Goods J. C. 14. Dupuy C. 12. Gutierrez L. (G) 16. Jimenez Abdiel 11. McClean F. 24. Munoz M. 92. Oliveira D. 18. Penalba O.
18. Ambuila L. 26. Berrocal O. 7. Caicedo A. 25. Contreras D. 4. Hormechea C. 61. Mock D. (G) 27. Morales A. 8. Ramirez Y. 17. Rivas R. 23. Yau M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Waterman B. ↓, Yau M. ↑,
28', Phillips K. ↓, Hormechea C. ↑,
28', Gomez V. ↓, Contreras D. ↑,
30', Fields L. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Canales A. ⚽,
33', Yau M. 🟨,
37', Cifuentes A. 🟨,
40', McKenzie A. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fields L. ↓, Ramirez Y. ↑,
62', Llerena O. ↓, Cox Goods J. C. ↑,
64', De Los Rios A. 🟨,
66', Collymore R. 🟨,
73', De Los Rios A. ↓, McClean F. ↑,
73', Oliveira D. 🟨,
73', Canales A. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
76', Valencia J. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Oliveira D. ⚽,
80', Cifuentes A. ↓, Berrocal O. ↑,
90+2', McClean F. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 0.
Recent performances by Árabe Unido have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Independiente is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Árabe Unido could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Árabe Unido won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.2:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente de la Chorrera - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Polo R. (G) 
Chara G. 
Oliveira D. 
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