Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.50	3.30	1.88
	3.87	3.49	1.83	Watch
	3.91	3.81	1.93
	3.61	3.72	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.83
	3.54	3.46	1.87
	3.45	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
25.2%

Draw
25.9%

Erokspor
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.6%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

25%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

İstanbulspor - Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 17th in the Relegation).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Erokspor holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, İstanbulspor has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for İstanbulspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
20.09.26	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Kayserispor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
07.09.26	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Bursaspor - İstanbulspor	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLT
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Bursaspor - Erokspor	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Erokspor - Kayserispor	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Bodrumspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Erokspor - Igdirspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.02.26	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	1:4
24.09.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	5:0
04.05.25	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	0:3
05.01.25	İstanbulspor - Erokspor	4:0
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Erokspor - İstanbulspor	1:2

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