Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Demirkiran B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	A Spor


	İstanbulspor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	12	6	1.17
	12.47	7.29	1.17	Watch
	12.96	6.78	1.19	Watch
	12	6	1.18
	13	6.44	1.19	Watch
	13	7	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.57 ↑ (4.1)	6.59 ↑ (3.82)	1.18 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
7.4%

Draw
14.1%

Trabzonspor
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.9%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

21.4%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that İstanbulspor's form might have worsened.

Trabzonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trabzonspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trabzonspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Trabzonspor (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

İstanbulspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trabzonspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trabzonspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, İstanbulspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Trabzonspor is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbulspor - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
10.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor	0:3 ✺
29.12.25	Adana Demirspor - İstanbulspor	1:5 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTW
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super Cup
05.01.26	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor	4:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Göztepe - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
12.05.24	Trabzonspor - İstanbulspor	3:0
19.12.23	İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor	Trabzonspor awarded
22.01.23	Trabzonspor - İstanbulspor	4:0
05.08.22	İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor	0:2

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