Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 14

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Balzan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.55	3	2.65	Watch
	2.92	3.15	2.94
	2.68	2.72	2.87	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.62
	2.58	3.2	2.63
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 (2.6)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	2.7 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
35.5%

Draw
30.4%

Balzan
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camilleri L. (G) 10. Gambarte B. (C) 13. Grech Z. 11. Ilic S. 21. Jovancic S. 55. Jovicic D. 30. Keqi K. 95. Marcelo Santos 5. Micallef J. 19. Tavares D. 28. Vinicius Paiva	99. Golovic D. (G) 27. Akpan U. 5. Arab S. (C) 10. Busuttil J. 14. Dimeji A. 42. Floro R. 6. Grima M. 11. Hili B. 77. Kamsoba E. 8. Pulis N. 17. Stanic H.
Substitutes
16. Akpan E. I. 2. Buhagiar K. 22. Davey I. 3. Davey S. 99. David Oliveira 32. Djodj L. (G) 29. Fava D. 9. Gatt S. 14. Iervolino A. 7. Micallef L. 23. Zammit G.	44. Bacanin M. 23. Borg W. 24. Cacciatore G. 7. Caruana T. 1. Ciappara D. (G) 19. Farrugia G. 22. Grech J. 18. Jankovic L. 2. Kerkez N. 4. Lapira L. 21. Lukovic L.
Coaches
Parisi A.	Cohen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ilic S. ⚽,
17', Grech Z. 🟨,
28', Gambarte B. 🟨,
43', Arab S. 🟨,
44', Jovicic D. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Hili B. ↓, Cacciatore G. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Floro R. (Pen),
66', Ilic S. ↓, David Oliveira ↑,
70', Grima M. 🟨,
71', 2 - 1, Tavares D. ⚽,
72', Tavares D. 🟨,
80', Pulis N. ↓, Bacanin M. ↑,
80', Arab S. ↓, Lukovic L. ↑,
86', Grima M. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Grech J. ⚽,
90+3', Keqi K. ↓, Davey I. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Żabbar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Żabbar have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Żabbar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Żabbar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
11.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Gżira United	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Melita - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWT
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
13.04.25	Balzan - Melita	3:1 ✺
04.04.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Gżira United - Balzan	0:0 ✺
13.03.25	Paola Hibernians - Balzan	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Balzan - Sliema Wanderers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
25.01.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Balzan	3:0
01.12.24	Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:2
16.09.24	Balzan - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2

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