Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Grech E. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Floriana

	1	X	2
	4.85	3.75	1.55
	4.67	4.12	1.58
	4.68	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5	3.7	1.57
	5.32	3.85	1.53
	4.5	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.32)	3.87 ↑ (3.59)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
18.7%

Draw
23.4%

Floriana
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Żabbar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Floriana will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Floriana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 11. Agius N. 9. Cejas P. 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. (C) 7. Soldo M.	23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 9. Dervisagic K. 8. Grech J. 19. Jah M. 14. Kurtalic A. 34. Mendonca I. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 70. Veselji M.
Substitutes
13. Callus A. 1. Colombo I. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 89. Fontanella M. 5. Forte M. 10. Gambarte B. 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 23. Polidano Z. 28. Vinicius Paiva	94. Areias R. 99. Attard D. 18. Baldacchino L. 22. Chico Teixeira 25. Gamarra G. 6. Joyce N. 27. Miceli D. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 11. Scerri Z.
Coaches
Parisi A.	Portela D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Jovancic S. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Dervisagic K. ⚽,
24', Jah M. 🟨,
44', Scicluna R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Soldo M. ↓, Gambarte B. ↑,
49', 🟨,
59', Agius N. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
68', Majok A. ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Grech J. ⚽,
75', Jah M. ↓, Areias R. ↑,
84', Grech J. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
84', Dervisagic K. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
85', Scicluna K. ↓, Forte M. ↑,
85', Scicluna R. ↓, Polidano Z. ↑,
87', Veselji M. ↓, Attard D. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Beerman M. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Żabbar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.

Recently, Floriana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Floriana is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
23.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLWL
- Floriana FC
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties ✺
Maltese Premier League
25.01.26	Floriana - Mosta	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:1 penalties
Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:1
02.02.25	Floriana - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0
28.08.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Floriana	0:3

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