Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Żabbar St. Patrick		Sliema Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.2	1.92
	3.63	3.36	2
	3.59	3.44	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.66	3.25	1.92
	4	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (3.9)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żabbar St. Patrick
24.7%

Draw
27.7%

Sliema Wanderers
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.9%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 11. Agius N. 8. Figueiredo B. 89. Fontanella M. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 21. Jovancic S. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R. 28. Vinicius Paiva	22. Al Tumi R. (G) 2. Borg J. 94. Fernandinho 5. Frendo N. 15. Gustavo Alcino 10. Montebello L. 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. (C) 9. Plut V. 93. Thiaguinho 20. Wescley
Substitutes
2. Buhagiar K. 9. Cejas P. 1. Colombo I. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 91. Grech J. (G) 15. Im Y. W. 20. Micallef L. 18. Mota L. 23. Polidano Z. 31. Scicluna J.	18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 14. Al Matroud O. 77. Awad M. 1. Lauri F. (G) 95. Marcelo Santos 3. Micallef N. 31. Murilo Henrique 12. Prsa R. 8. Siaw S. 21. Strickland N.
Coaches
Agius G.	Doffo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Thiaguinho 🟨,
17', Pisani S. 🟨,
33', Scicluna K. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Montebello L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 1, Fontanella M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montebello L. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
67', Wescley ↓, Prsa R. ↑,
72', Fontanella M. ↓, Cejas P. ↑,
77', Gustavo Alcino 🟨,
79', Agius N. ↓, Mota L. ↑,
82', Plut V. ↓, Marcelo Santos ↑,
88', Majok A. ↓, Etim A. ↑,
89', Etim A. 🟥,
90+1', Figueiredo B. 🟥,
90+3', Gustavo Alcino 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of home games.

Sliema Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Żabbar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
9	Zabbar	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Żabbar St. Patrick - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żabbar St. Patrick FC
Maltese Premier League
19.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	3:3 ✺
15.04.26	Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Birkirkara - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLTW
- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
19.04.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Sliema Wanderers - Birkirkara	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0
16.08.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers	1:2
04.01.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
20.10.24	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:0

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