Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	22 de Julio		Atlético Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.32	2.35
	2.96	2.76	2.66	Watch
	2.74	3.13	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.56)	3.07 ↓ (3.29)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

22 de Julio
32.3%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Vinotinto
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.8%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 22 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Including home match between the teams, 22 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.08.25	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	22 de Julio - Leones del Norte	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0 ✺
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.08.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Cumbayá	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	9 de Octubre - Atlético Vinotinto	0:1 ✺
31.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0
06.05.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	0:0

22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide