Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	Atlético Vinotinto		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.92	3.3
	2.24	2.88	3.71
	4.36	3.33	1.83	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.95	3.39
	2.05	2.88	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.56)	2.96 ↓ (3.34)	3.22 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Vinotinto
37.8%

Draw
32.4%

Gualaceo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

26.9%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Atlético Vinotinto - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Vinotinto: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Atlético Vinotinto (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Vinotinto will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Vinotinto (votes: 6 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Atlético Vinotinto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gualaceo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Vinotinto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.07.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0 ✺
10.07.25	Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
03.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
26.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTW
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.25	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
17.07.25	Vargas Torres - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
08.07.25	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:2 ✺
26.06.25	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
22.05.25	Gualaceo - Atlético Vinotinto	2:1

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