Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ecuador	15:30	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	22 de Julio		Chacaritas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.09	5.2
	1.62	3.75	5.21	Watch
	1.57	3.98	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.69)	3.94 ↑ (3.5)	5.3 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

22 de Julio
59.1%

Draw
23.5%

Chacaritas
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

25.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

22 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 22 de Julio's performance.

Chacaritas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

22 de Julio - Chacaritas Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 de Julio will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

22 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chacaritas has had a series of home games.

In this match, 22 de Julio is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, 22 de Julio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
28.08.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	22 de Julio - Leones del Norte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLW
- Chacaritas FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.09.25	Chacaritas - Cumbayá	4:1 ✺
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3 ✺
17.08.25	Chacaritas - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Cumbayá - Chacaritas	1:3 ✺
31.07.25	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0
13.05.25	Chacaritas - 22 de Julio	3:2

22 de Julio - Chacaritas