Match Info

Serie B - Round 20

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping


	22 de Julio		Leones del Norte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.67	3.05	1.98
	4.03	2.77	2.15	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.51	2.75	1.95	Watch
	3.62	3.74	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.92)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

22 de Julio
22.2%

Draw
29.5%

Leones del Norte
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

28.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 22 de Julio's form might have worsened.

Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leones del Norte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 22 de Julio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leones del Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

22 de Julio - Leones del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. 22 de Julio will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leones del Norte will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. 22 de Julio (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Leones del Norte (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Barrio C. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

22 de Julio is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leones del Norte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Leones del Norte is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 22 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.07.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	3:0 ✺
16.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - 22 de Julio	8:0 ✺
08.07.25	22 de Julio - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	22 de Julio - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLL
- Leones del Norte
Ecuadorian Serie B
23.07.25	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Chacaritas - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Leones del Norte	0:0 ✺
24.06.25	Leones del Norte - Vargas Torres	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
21.05.25	Leones del Norte - 22 de Julio	2:0

22 de Julio - Leones del Norte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide