Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday


	ABC		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.85	2.8
	2.65	2.95	2.85	Watch
	2.74	2.98	3.03
	2.74	2.96	3.03
	2.7	2.8	2.8
	2.64	2.96	2.89	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.4)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
35.2%

Draw
32.2%

Avaí
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

ABC - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 2. Gedeilson 4. Habraao 44. Fabricio 30. Jhonnathan 5. Daniel 20. Ramon 7. Matheus Anjos 22. Andrey 26. Anderson Cordeiro 11. Wallyson	1. Igor Bohn (G) 98. Igor 3. Alan 95. Jonathan Costa 25. Natanael 5. Wellington (C) 90. Fellipe Bastos 23. Rafael Gava 13. Waguininho 9. Gabriel Poveda 29. Jean Lucas
Substitutes
15. Afonso 12. Caique 97. Fabio Costa 92. Goncalves G. D. 90. Matheus Refundini (G) 8. Randerson 16. Romario 10. Thonny Anderson 14. Wellington Reis 31. Welliton	78. Andrey 31. Bruno Cortez 44. Douglas 22. Douglas Friedrich (G) 68. Edinho 17. Gustavo Modesto 2. Igor Dutra 7. Jael 65. Rafael Forster 4. Roberto Rosa 38. Rocha F.
Coaches
Fuchs A.	Barroca E.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 4.

ABC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Avaí is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ABC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in ABC: Walfrido (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

There will not play in Avaí: Didi (Injury) Eduardo (Injury) Julio Cesar (Injury) Thiago Rosa (Injury) Wellington (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches ABC won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.23	Atlético Goianiense - ABC	3:1 ✺
10.10.23	ABC - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Chapecoense - ABC	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	ABC - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTWL
- Avaí
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
24.10.23	Chapecoense - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.23	Avaí - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
18.10.23	Avaí - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
15.10.23	Londrina - Avaí	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.10.23	Avaí - Joinville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	Avaí - ABC	0:2
07.10.14	ABC - Avaí	2:1
30.05.14	Avaí - ABC	0:1
23.11.13	ABC - Avaí	1:0
30.08.13	Avaí - ABC	2:0
06.11.12	ABC - Avaí	1:2
07.08.12	Avaí - ABC	N/A

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