Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Maringá		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.9	3.7
				Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.81
				Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	2	3.08	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
45.2%

Draw
30%

Ponte Preta
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Maringá - Ponte Preta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tony Batista (G) 14. Buga 7. Edison Negueba 5. Evanderson 18. Jhow Alecxander 23. Max Miller 29. Rai Natalino 11. Robertinho 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 13. Tito 36. Vinicius Amaral	12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 21. Dudu 18. Emerson Santos 29. Everton Brito 7. Jean Dias 9. Jeh 36. Leocovick 25. Lucas Candido 2. Maguinho 34. Wanderson
Substitutes
40. Caio 2. Cristovam 30. Danielzinho 27. Ibson 19. Julio Rodrigues 99. Maranhao 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 35. Pingo 22. Raphinha 21. Vitinho	77. Bruno Lopes 33. Danrlei Santos 35. Diego Tavares 10. Elvis 20. Joao Gabriel 17. Jonas Toro 55. Leo Oliveira 27. Luiz Felipe 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 37. Serginho 6. Sergio Raphael
Coaches
Jorge Castilho	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Artur 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Artur ↓, Sergio Raphael ↑,
46', 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Lucas Candido ⚽,
54', Rai Natalino ↓, Maranhao ↑,
54', Jhow Alecxander ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
58', 🟨,
60', Dudu ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
66', Robertinho ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
66', Tito ↓, Raphinha ↑,
72', Evanderson ↓, Cristovam ↑,
76', Lucas Candido ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
76', Jean Dias ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
87', Jeh ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
87', Leocovick 🟨,
88', Everton Brito 🟨,
89', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Recent form of Maringá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ponte Preta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maringá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
16.06.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Maringá	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Maringá - Ituano	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Anápolis - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Maringá	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Maringá - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.25	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
02.06.25	Ponte Preta - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Ponte Preta - Brusque	1:4 ✺
12.05.25	Ituano - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLW

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