Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 February 2023, Thursday

Location: Cars Jeans Stadion (Den Haag)

Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	ADO Den Haag		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2
	3.3	3.25	1.98
	3.55	3.7	2
	3.05	3.55	1.97
	3.59	3.61	2.04
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.54	3.6	2.03	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
27%

Draw
26.6%

Go Ahead Eagles
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

24.7%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for ADO Den Haag have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	57.1%	35.7%

ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 2.

Den Haag is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Go Ahead is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Go Ahead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Go Ahead will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Den Haag won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Haag won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.02.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
27.01.23	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	ADO Den Haag - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	ADO Den Haag - MVV Maastricht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
10.01.23	Kozakken Boys - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWW
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
05.02.23	Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
28.01.23	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
15.01.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Utrecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
11.02.17	Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag	3:1
06.08.16	ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0
25.01.15	Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag	1:0
20.09.14	ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1
21.02.14	ADO Den Haag - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2
10.08.13	Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag	2:1

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