Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Mandemakers Stadion (Waalwijk)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Waalwijk		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	2.88	4.1	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.9	2.2
	2.8	3.9	2.28	Watch
	2.88	4.05	2.25
	2.79	3.99	2.27	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2.2
	2.79	4.15	2.21	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.86)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	2.23 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waalwijk
33.6%

Draw
23.8%

Go Ahead Eagles
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

24.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Waalwijk (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 33. Al Mazyani F. 17. van Eijma R. 4. Van Gelderen L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 2. Lelieveld J. 22. van de Loo T. 6. Oukili Y. 52. Ihattaren M. 29. Kramer M. (C) 19. Margaret R.	1. Plogmann L. (G) 2. Deijl M. (C) 3. Nauber G. 4. Kramer J. 24. Everink L. 21. Llansana E. 8. Linthorst E. 27. Stokkers F. 16. Edvardsen V. 17. Suray M. 14. Pettersson O.
Substitutes
7. Cleonise D. 32. el Yaakoubi R. 35. Felida K. 1. Houwen J. (G) 11. Jakobsen A. 13. Kesting J. (G) 14. Lokesa C. 28. Meijers A. 24. Roemeratoe G. 18. van der Water S. 8. Vroegh P. 34. Wouters L.	29. Adelgaard A. 31. Boakye O. 7. Breum J. 22. De Busser J. (G) 5. James D. 11. Sivertsen O. 33. Verdoni N. (G)
Coaches
Fraser H.	Simonis P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Stokkers F. ⚽, Llansana E. (A),
26', 1 - 1, van de Loo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', van Eijma R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
46', Stokkers F. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Kramer M. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
55', Lelieveld J. 🟨,
59', Everink L. ↓, James D. ↑,
59', Pettersson O. ↓, Sivertsen O. ↑,
63', James D. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Oukili Y. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
71', van de Loo T. ↓, Roemeratoe G. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Breum J. ⚽, Linthorst E. (A),
76', Familia-Castillo J. ↓, Meijers A. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Linthorst E. ⚽, Kramer J. (A),
81', 4 - 3, Ihattaren M. (Pen),
84', Margaret R. ↓, van der Water S. ↑,
85', Ihattaren M. ↓, Felida K. ↑,
90+1', Suray M. ↓, Boakye O. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 3, Oukili Y. ⚽, Al Mazyani F. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Go Ahead is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.

Recent form of Waalwijk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Go Ahead has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Waalwijk: Takidine I. (Inactive) van Osch Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Go Ahead: Dirksen J. (Inactive) Tengstedt S. (Inactive) Twigt C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: Van den Buijs D. (Inactive) Weidmann D. (Injury) Zawada O. (Injury) van der Venne R. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.25	Feyenoord - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Waalwijk - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Groningen - Waalwijk	6:1 ✺
25.04.25	Waalwijk - Utrecht	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie
14.05.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.04.25	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
25.08.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	2:0
02.03.24	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	1:0
11.11.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	0:1
19.04.23	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	3:2
01.02.23	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1
15.01.22	Go Ahead Eagles - Waalwijk	0:2
02.10.21	Waalwijk - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1

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